AI verdict

AI pick Botosani win probability ~53% best odds 2.33

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Botosani. Full breakdown below.

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Romania: Cup Rumynii
Romania: Cup Rumynii
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
02.09.2026 13:45 UTC
Not started

Romania: Cup Rumynii

Botosani vs Korvinul — Football prediction

Football
Botosani
Botosani
- : -
Not started
Korvinul
Korvinul

Botosani take on Korvinul in football, in Romania: Cup Rumynii, on 2 September 2026. The PropickAI Glicko-2 model rates Botosani as the favourite at around 53%. Sportsbook prices (1 book) put that result at roughly 40%. The model puts the chance of a draw at 20%.

Latest form: Botosani 2 won, 3 drawn and 0 lost; Korvinul 2 won, 2 drawn and 1 lost. Korvinul come in having won their last matches. Glicko ratings: Botosani 1618, Korvinul 1590, a gap of 28 points. Across 1 recent head-to-head meeting between them, the full record is shown below on this page.

Our model is notably more confident in the favourite than the market. Model confidence in the favourite is low. That is a 13-point gap to the market. The match is close, and the model flags no clear safer edge. Key markers: an edge of 28 Glicko rating points, the model's 53% for Botosani. Read on for team stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PropickAI AI prediction. This is a probability read from our model plus the market line, not a guaranteed outcome.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Botosani53%

1 · Botosani52.5%
X · draw20.5%
2 · Korvinul27.0%

Model estimate: win Botosani 52.5%, draw 20.5%, win Korvinul 27.0%. Model favourite — Botosani.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Botosani - Korvinul September 2, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Botosani. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.33 / X 3.11 / 2 3.04

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.0%
1 39.8%
X 29.8%
2 30.5%

Odds source: Leon line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Model O/U (market-implied)

Total 2.50 1 books
Over 2.50 43.3%
Under 2.50 56.7%

Market-implied probability from the frozen pre-kickoff consensus line — reference, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 02.09.2026 13:45 UTC
Market 1 39.8% @ 2.33 / X 29.8% @ 3.11 / 2 30.5% @ 3.04
🥊 Humans vs Machines
📐 Math model Botosani 53%
💹 Market Botosani 40%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
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Match center

Botosani - Korvinul

Form 5/5 recent games
Market 3 model / bookmakers
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Botosani 40.2% 52.5% market and model agree
Draw 30.1% 20.5% draw risk
Korvinul 29.7% 27.0%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 52.5% / 20.5% / 27.0% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,618 / 1,590 Botosani / Korvinul
RD 147 / 217 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,323-1,913 / 1,157-2,023 strength interval

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.04 market consensus · no value · model 27.0%
X 3.11 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.33 market consensus · value +22.4% · model 52.5%
Handicap
2 0 2.10 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.65 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.20 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.68 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.84 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.86 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.84 54.4%
yes 1.86 53.8%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
3.12 32.1%
X 2.04 49.0%
3.86 25.9%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 2.10 47.6%
Under 1 1.69 59.2%

Handicap

Outcome Leon
1.65 60.6%
2.10 47.6%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

BotosaniDWWLDLDDDW
KorvinulDDWWDDLWLL
H2H 0-1-0, avg 0.0 gls
2026-08-10 · Botoshani 0:0 Korvinul
Source: ruscore

Odds · 2 bookmakers

Best price: 1 2.29 (Winline) · X 3 (Pari) · 2 3.05 (Winline)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 2.25 3 3
Winline 2.29 2.95 3.05
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Botosani
D W W D D
30.08 13:00 UTC+0 Fonbet football live
Botosani 0:0 Farul Konstantsa
24.08 15:30 UTC+0 Romania: Superliga Standings
Botosani 1:0 Merkurya-ChukMerkurya-Chuk
20.08 14:30 UTC+0 Romania: Cup Rumynii - Qualifying
Botosani 3:1 Viitorul Selimbar
17.08 18:30 UTC+0 Romania: Superliga Standings
Botosani 2:2 FKSBFKSB
10.08 15:30 UTC+0 1. Liga
Botosani 0:0 Khunedoara
2 Wins
3 Draws
0 Losses
1.2 Scored
0.6 Conceded
9 Points
Korvinul
W W D D L
19.08 14:30 UTC+0 Romania: Cup Rumynii - Qualifying
Korvinul 3:2 Baya Mare
17.08 18:30 UTC+0 Romania: Superliga Standings
Korvinul 3:0 ChFR KluzhChFR Kluzh
10.08 15:30 UTC+0 Romania: Superliga Standings
Korvinul 0:0 BotoshaniBotoshani
01.08 15:30 UTC+0 Romania: Superliga Standings
Korvinul 1:1 SepsiSepsi
25.07 12:30 UTC+0 Romania: Superliga Standings
Korvinul 0:2 FarulFarul
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.0 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Botosani - Korvinul

Botosani
0 matches total
Korvinul
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Frequently asked questions

What does PropickAI predict for Botosani vs Korvinul?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Botosani. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Botosani vs Korvinul?

Live odds for Botosani vs Korvinul from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does Botosani vs Korvinul start?

September 2, 2026.