ACS Dumbravita face Satu-Mare on August 5, 2026 in the Romania: Liga 2 Standings.
Recent form (W-D-L): ACS Dumbravita 3-0-2, Satu-Mare 3-2-0. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1ACS Dumbravita — 60%
Pure model vs market (1 · ACS Dumbravita): model 44% · market 58%Δ −14 ppmodel estimates below the market
60%1
1 · ACS Dumbravita ✓ Pick60.4%
market58%
X · draw20.8%
market22%
2 · Satu-Mare18.8%
market19%
Model estimate: win ACS Dumbravita 60.4%, draw 20.8%, win Satu-Mare 18.8%. Model favourite — ACS Dumbravita.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🤖AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1ACS Dumbravita (odds2.29)Score 1:0confidence 50%
•Model backs Dumbrevitsa: probability 50% vs 44% on the line (odds 2.29)
•edge over the line +6 pp — value pick
•Expected score 1:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
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Math-model prediction
AI match prediction ACS Dumbravita - Satu-Mare August 5, 2026
Football math model
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: draw. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 3.90 / X 1.62 / 2 4.60
%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
⚽
SStats data
Statistics and model
Liga II
League table
ACS Dumbravita
#160 ptsGP 00-0-00:0
Satu-Mare
#130 ptsGP 00-0-00:0
Best price
across 12 books
11.57Betano
X4.20Marathonbet
26.00Betfair
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Implied probabilities from the Fonbet live line (1/odds, normalized). For reference.
LIVE
Match momentum (live)
1:175'
ACS DumbravitaSatu-Mare
84Attacks68
47Dangerous attacks43
1Shots on target3
33%Control (ball-safe)38%
5Corners6
0Fouls0
Live momentum from Sportradar (attacks/shots/control). Updates during the match.
Buy the full AI analysis
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Football math model.
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
ACS Dumbravita61.5%60.4%market and model agree
Draw20.7%20.8%draw risk
Satu-Mare17.8%18.8%
xG-1.58 : 0.92
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P260.4% / 20.8% / 18.8%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
24.60
Fonbet · no value · model 18.8%
X1.62
Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
13.90
Fonbet · weak value +135.7% · model 60.4%
Double chance
122.10
Fonbet · weak value +66.3% · model 79.2%
1X1.18
Fonbet · no value · model 81.2%
X21.23
Fonbet · no value · model 39.6%
Handicap
2 +11.84
market consensus · line only
2 02.02
Fonbet · line only
1 -11.86
market consensus · line only
1 01.70
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.51.90
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.51.80
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No2.65
Fonbet · line only
Yes1.42
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
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