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Romania. League 1
Romania. League 1
02.08.2026 18:30 UTC
02.08.2026 18:30 UTC
Not started

Romania. League 1

FCSB - Farul Constanta

Football
FCSB
FCSB
- : -
Not started
Farul Constanta
Farul Constanta

FCSB face Farul Constanta on August 2, 2026 in the Romania. League 1.

Recent form (W-D-L): FCSB 2-0-0, Farul Constanta 1-0-1. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 FCSB — 53%

Pure model vs market (1 · FCSB): model 53% · market 53% Δ 0 pp model estimate matches the market

1 · FCSB53.2%
X · draw25.2%
2 · Farul Constanta21.6%

Model estimate: win FCSB 53.2%, draw 25.2%, win Farul Constanta 21.6%. Model favourite — FCSB.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1FCSB (odds1.76) Score 2:1 confidence 53%
  • • Model backs FKSB: probability 53% vs 57% on the line (odds 1.76)
  • • no edge over the line (-4 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction FCSB - Farul Constanta August 2, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: FCSB. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.80 / X 3.80 / 2 4.45

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.3%
1 53.2%
X 25.2%
2 21.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 02.08.2026 18:30 UTC
Market 1 53.2% @ 1.80 / X 25.2% @ 3.80 / 2 21.5% @ 4.45
Match center

FCSB - Farul Constanta

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
FCSB 53.3% 53.2% market and model agree
Draw 25.4% 25.2% draw risk
Farul Constanta 21.3% 21.6%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 53.2% / 25.2% / 21.6% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,718 / 1,550 FCSB / Farul Constanta
RD 259 / 249 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,199-2,237 / 1,052-2,047 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.28 market consensus · no value · model 21.6%
X 3.69 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.76 market consensus · no value · model 53.2%
Double chance
12 1.23 market consensus · no value · model 74.8%
1X 1.18 market consensus · no value · model 78.4%
X2 1.94 market consensus · no value · model 46.8%
Handicap
2 +0.5 2.04 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.55 market consensus · line only
2 0 3.10 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.70 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.75 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.98 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.03 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.73 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.03 49.3%
yes 1.73 57.8%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.21 82.6% 1.24 80.7%
1x 1.15 87.0% 1.21 82.6%
x2 1.93 51.8% 1.95 51.3%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.30 43.5%
X 2.32 43.1%
4.67 21.4%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.67 59.9%
Under 1 2.08 48.1%
Match center
FCSB
W W
26.07 15:30 UTC Romania: Superliga Standings
FCSB 2:0 Merkurya-Chuk
17.07 16:30 UTC Romania: Superliga Standings
FCSB 2:0 ArdzheshArdzhesh
2 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
6 Points
Farul Constanta
W L
25.07 12:30 UTC Romania: Superliga Standings
Farul Constanta 2:0 Korvinul
19.07 12:00 UTC Romania: Superliga Standings
Farul Constanta 1:2 Universitatya KluzhUniversitatya Kluzh
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.5 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFCSB - Farul Constanta

FCSB
0 matches total
Farul Constanta
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history