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Romania: Superliga Standings

01.08.2026 18:30 UTC

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Romania: Superliga Standings

Universitatea Craiova - Petrolul Ploiesti

Football

Universitatea Craiova

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Petrolul Ploiesti

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Universitatea Craiova — 61%

Pure model vs market (1 · Universitatea Craiova): model 43% · market 62% Δ −19 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Universitatea Craiova ✓ Pick60.8%

market62%

X · draw23.9%

market24%

2 · Petrolul Ploiesti15.3%

market14%

Model estimate: win Universitatea Craiova 60.8%, draw 23.9%, win Petrolul Ploiesti 15.3%. Model favourite — Universitatea Craiova.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Universitatea Craiova (odds1.51) Score 1:0 confidence 50%

• Model backs Universitatya Krayova: probability 50% vs 66% on the line (odds 1.51)
• no edge over the line (-16 pp) — informational only
• Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Universitatea Craiova - Petrolul Ploiesti August 1, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Universitatea Craiova. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.52 / X 3.91 / 2 6.80

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.1%

1 ✓ Pick 62.0%

X 24.1%

2 13.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Liga I

League table

Universitatea Craiova

#113 ptsGP 21-0-15:5

ARRAY

Petrolul Ploiesti

#123 ptsGP 21-0-11:1

ARRAY

Best price across 13 books

1 1.54 Superbet

X 4.10 Marathonbet

2 7.33 Pinnacle

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)

Universitatea Craiova

W-D-L 6-2-2 Scored 1.65 Conceded 1.08 xG 1.46 xGA 0.98 Corners 4.1

Petrolul Ploiesti

W-D-L 3-3-4 Scored 0.97 Conceded 1.35 xG 1.21 xGA 1.10 Corners 5.5

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)

Universitatea Craiova

Rating 1646 xG 1.53 Win 55%

Petrolul Ploiesti

Rating 1515 xG 0.79 Win 19%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center

Stadium Krayova (Krayova, Romania), vmestimost: 30983

Start 01.08.2026 18:30 UTC

Market 1 62.0% @ 1.52 / X 24.1% @ 3.91 / 2 13.9% @ 6.80

Match center

Universitatea Craiova - Petrolul Ploiesti

football, Universitatya Kr - Petrolul, 1 avgusta 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matcha. Vo skolko nachalo matcha Universitatya Kr - Petrolul, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Championship Rumynii po futbolu (Liga 1) 2026/27, 3-y Round.

Form 2/2 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 3 model / bookmakers

SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.

Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.

Transfermarkt squad

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants Line

More needed

H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries

Movement Line history

Overview championat, soccer365

Table championat, Flashscore

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Universitatea Craiova 61.9% 60.8% market and model agree

Draw 24.0% 23.9% draw risk

Petrolul Ploiesti 14.0% 15.3%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 60.8% / 23.9% / 15.3% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,428 / 1,451 Universitatea Craiova / Petrolul Ploiesti

RD 228 / 254 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 973-1,884 / 944-1,958 strength interval

HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 6.63 market consensus · no value · model 15.3%

X 3.90 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 1.51 market consensus · no value · model 60.8%

Double chance

12 1.22 market consensus · no value · model 76.1%

1X 1.08 market consensus · no value · model 84.7%

X2 2.42 market consensus · no value · model 39.2%

Handicap

2 +1 1.87 market consensus · line only

1 -1 1.86 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.12 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.66 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.59 market consensus · line only

Yes 2.26 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Leon
no	1.59 62.9%
yes	2.26 44.3%

Double chance

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity
12	1.20 83.3%	1.23 81.3%
1x	1.07 93.5%	1.09 91.7%
x2	2.40 41.7%	2.43 41.2%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	2.04 49.0%
X	2.19 45.7%
	7.50 13.3%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome	Leon
Over 1	1.99 50.3%
Under 1	1.73 57.8%

Match center

Universitatea Craiova

L W

25.07 15:30 UTC Romania: Superliga Standings

Universitatea Craiova 1:5 Dinamo Bukharest

18.07 16:15 UTC Romania: Superliga Standings

Universitatea Craiova 4:0 UTA Arad

1 Wins

0 Draws

1 Losses

2.5 Scored

2.5 Conceded

3 Points

Petrolul Ploiesti

L W

24.07 16:30 UTC Romania: Superliga Standings

Petrolul Ploiesti 0:1 Ardzhesh

19.07 14:30 UTC Romania: Superliga Standings

Petrolul Ploiesti 1:0 Dinamo Bukharest

1 Wins

0 Draws

1 Losses

0.5 Scored

0.5 Conceded

3 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyUniversitatea Craiova - Petrolul Ploiesti

Universitatea Craiova

0 matches total

Petrolul Ploiesti

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Universitatea Craiova

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Petrolul Ploiesti

2 Games 2

1 Wins 1

0 Draws 0

1 Losses 1

5 Scored 1

5 Conceded 1

3 Points 3

0 Attacks 0

0 Dangerous attacks 0

0 Big chances 0

11 Shots on goal 11

4.5 Shots on target 3

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Universitatya Kr Petrolul 2 Games 2 1 Wins 1 0 Draws 0 1 Losses 1 5 Scored 1 5 Conceded 1 3 Points 3 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 11 Shots on goal 11 4.5 Udary v stvor 3 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 2.5 Uglovye 4.5 0.5 Offsaydy 2.5 8 Foly 12.5 59 % vladeniya myachom 47.5 2 Warnings 4.5 0.5 Sendoffs 0 Rezultaty golosovaniya Iskhod v osnovnoe vremya 100% 0% 0% Double chance 50% 50% 0% CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1320440' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical');