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Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage
Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
04.08.2026 15:30 UTC Group C. 1-y Round
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Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage

Dynamo Makhachkala - Krylia Sovetov

Football
Dynamo Makhachkala
Dynamo Makhachkala
- : -
Not started
Krylia Sovetov
Krylia Sovetov

Dynamo Makhachkala face Krylia Sovetov on August 4, 2026 in the Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage.

Recent form (W-D-L): Dynamo Makhachkala 3-1-1, Krylia Sovetov 1-3-1. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Dynamo Makhachkala47%

Pure model vs market (1 · Dynamo Makhachkala): model 52% · market 47% Δ +5 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Dynamo Makhachkala46.9%
X · draw28.8%
2 · Krylia Sovetov24.3%

Model estimate: win Dynamo Makhachkala 46.9%, draw 28.8%, win Krylia Sovetov 24.3%. Model favourite — Dynamo Makhachkala.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Dynamo Makhachkala (odds2.01) Score 1:0 Under 2 (odds2.05) Handicap H1 +0 (odds1.40) confidence 50%
  • Model backs Dinamo Makhachkala: probability 50% vs 50% on the line (odds 2.01)
  • legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey
  • Expected score 1:0
  • Total: Under 2: model expects a total of ~1 goals
  • at line 2 (odds 2.05)
  • Handicap F1 +0: score forecast 1:0 (diff +1) covers the line (odds 1.40).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Dynamo Makhachkala - Krylia Sovetov August 4, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Dynamo Makhachkala. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.00 / X 3.35 / 2 4.05

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.5% 4 books · best price +1.9%
1 46.6%
X 29.2%
2 24.2%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1 1.98 ↑ 2.00
1X2 X 3.20 ↑ 3.35
1X2 P2 4.30 ↓ 4.05

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Cup
Best price across 6 books
1 2.10 Superbet
X 3.35 Marathonbet
2 3.92 Marathonbet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Dynamo Makhachkala
W-D-L 5-2-3 Scored 1.28 Conceded 0.98 xG 0.90 xGA 1.44 Corners 2.0
Krylia Sovetov
W-D-L 2-5-3 Scored 1.43 Conceded 1.91 xG 1.12 xGA 1.59 Corners 5.5

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Dynamo Makhachkala
Rating 1665 xG 1.28 Win 40%
Krylia Sovetov
Rating 1465 xG 1.12 Win 32%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Dynamo Makhachkala 3 : 1 Krylia Sovetov
12.08
X3.34
23.92

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:2/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated03.08.2026 17:02 UTC
1 37% ✓ favourite
X 35%
2 28%
Score0:0 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:X2
Per AI data H2H: 2-0
Claude updated03.08.2026 15:33 UTC
1 44% ✓ favourite
X 31%
2 25%
Score1:1 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:Double chance X2 (Krylya Sovetov ne proigrayut) at 1.80

AI consensus:1

AI 1 X 2 Score Total goals BTTS Bet
Google AI 37% 35% 28% 0:0 Under 2.5 No X2
Claude 44% 31% 25% 1:1 Under 2.5 No Double chance X2 (Krylya Sovetov ne proigrayut) at 1.80

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Participant opinions
520 predictions Choose an outcome
1 77% 212
X 15% 42
2 6% 18
match_qualify match_qualify:w2 2.34 (5) - match_qualify:w1 1.53 (2)
Double chance X2 1.82 (69) - 12 1.36 (2) - 1X 1.28 (1)
Both teams to score BTTS yes 1.81 (92) - BTTS no 1.89 (16)
Total TB 2.5 2.26 (20) - TM 2.5 1.65 (9) - TB 2 1.67 (4)
Match center
Start 04.08.2026 15:30 UTC
Market 1 47.8% @ 2.00 / X 28.6% @ 3.35 / 2 23.6% @ 4.05
🥊 Humans vs Machines
👥 Community Dynamo Makhachkala 77%
🤖 7 AI models Dynamo Makhachkala 41%
📐 Math model Dynamo Makhachkala 47%
✅ Humans and AI agree
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Dynamo Makhachkala - Krylia Sovetov

football, Dinamo Mkh - Krylya Sovetov, 4 avgusta 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matcha. Vo skolko nachalo matcha Dinamo Mkh - Krylya Sovetov, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Fonbet Cup Russia 2026/2027, Group C. 1-y Round.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Line 1 source Stavka.tv
Player opinions LiveResult 100 - Stavka.tv 172 combined layer without duplicates
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Line Movement
More needed
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
yes Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Dynamo Makhachkala 46.6% 46.9% market and model agree
Draw 29.2% 28.8% draw risk
Krylia Sovetov 24.2% 24.3%
xG - 1.28 : 1.12

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 46.9% / 28.8% / 24.3% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,679 / 1,519 Dynamo Makhachkala / Krylia Sovetov
RD 254 / 291 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,170-2,187 / 937-2,102 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.05 Fonbet · no value · model 24.3%
X 3.35 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.00 Fonbet · no value · model 46.9%
Double chance
12 1.35 Fonbet · no value · model 71.2%
1X 1.27 Fonbet · no value · model 75.7%
X2 1.82 Fonbet · no value · model 53.1%
Handicap
2 -1 1.35 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 7.10 Fonbet · line only
2 0 2.85 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 3.00 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.30 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.63 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.75 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.02 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.75 57.1% 1.86 53.8%
yes 2.02 49.5% 1.95 51.3%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.34 74.6% 1.35 74.1% 1.35 74.1%
1x 1.24 80.7% 1.26 79.4% 1.27 78.7%
x2 1.73 57.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.82 55.0%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.72 36.8%
X 2.09 47.9%
4.57 21.9%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 2.14 46.7%
Under 1 1.72 58.1%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 4-1-1, avg 2.67 gls
2026-03-08 · Dinamo Mkh 0:2 Krylya Sovetov
2025-11-01 · Dinamo Mkh 2:0 Krylya Sovetov
2025-03-15 · Dinamo Mkh 4:0 Krylya Sovetov
2024-10-02 · Dinamo Mkh 3:3 Krylya Sovetov
2024-09-01 · Dinamo Mkh 1:0 Krylya Sovetov
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 2.05 (Betcity) · X 3.2 (Pari) · 2 4.3 (Pari)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 1.98 3.2 4.3
Winline 1.99 3.2 4.3
Fonbet 1.98 3.2 4.3
Betcity 2.05 3.2 4
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Dynamo Makhachkala
W W D L W
2026-08-01 Premier League 26/27
Dynamo Makhachkala Dynamo Makhachkala 2:1 Lokomotiv Moscow
2026-07-25 Premier League 26/27
Dynamo Makhachkala Fakel 1:2 Dynamo Makhachkala
2026-07-13 Club Friendly Games 2026
Dynamo Makhachkala Zenit SPb 1:1 Dynamo Makhachkala
2026-07-01 Club Friendly Games 2026
Dynamo Makhachkala Zenit SPb 2:0 Dynamo Makhachkala
2026-05-23 Premier League 25/26, Relegation/Promotion
Dynamo Makhachkala Dynamo Makhachkala 2:0 Ural
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.0 Conceded
10 Points
Krylia Sovetov
D D D W L
2026-08-01 Premier League 26/27
CSKA Moscow 1:1 Krylia Sovetov Krylia Sovetov
2026-07-25 Premier League 26/27
Dynamo Moscow 0:0 Krylia Sovetov Krylia Sovetov
2026-06-28 Club Friendly Games 2026
Krylia Sovetov 1:1 Neftekhimik Krylia Sovetov
2026-05-17 Premier League 25/26
Krylia Sovetov 4:1 Akron Tolyatti Krylia Sovetov
2026-05-10 Premier League 25/26
Orenburg 1:0 Krylia Sovetov Krylia Sovetov
1 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
1.2 Scored
0.8 Conceded
6 Points
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Dynamo Makhachkala
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Krylia Sovetov
Dynamo Makhachkala Team comparison Krylia Sovetov
0 Games 0
0 Wins 0
0 Draws 0
0 Losses 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
0 Points 0
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
0 Shots on goal 0
0 Udary v stvor 0
0 Games 0
0 Wins 0
0 Draws 0
0 Losses 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0

Dynamo Mkh Krylya Sovetov 0 Games 0 Wins 0 Draws 0 Losses 0 Scored 0 Conceded 0 Points 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0 Warnings 0 Sendoffs 0 Glavnye trenery Glavnye trenery Vadim Valentinovich Evseev Glavnye trenery Sergey Aleksandrovich Bulatov 0' Superfinala teper ne budet, a esche est izmeneniya v stadii playoff Cup Russia vozvraschaetsya! Vse o turnire — ot novogo reglamenta do sostava grupp 0' Privetstvuem vsekh lyubiteley futbola! Rady predlozhit vashemu vnimaniyu tekstovuyu onlayn-translyatsiyu matches pervogo tura gruppovogo etapa Kubka Russia — 2026/2027: «Dynamo» (Makhachkala) — «Krylya Sovetov». Eto soperniki po gruppe C. Nachalo vstrechi zaplanirovano na 18:30 po moskovskomu vremeni. Rezultaty golosovaniya Result v osnovnoe vremya 45% 25% 30% Double chance 35% 37% 28% Materialy po prognozam CSKA and «Spartak» spasayut sezon, «Zenit» and «Krasnodar» — protiv! Talalaev otomstit «Zenitu», proverka ambitsiy Karsedo. Chego zhdat ot matches Kubka Russia «Lokomotiv» and CSKA v pogone za medalyami. Chego zhdat ot subboty v RPL? «Spartak» — «Krylya Sove