Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage
Lokomotiv Moscow take on CSKA Moscow on August 3, 2026 in the Fonbet Russian Cup. Group stage.
Recent form (W-D-L): Lokomotiv Moscow 1-2-2, CSKA Moscow 1-2-2. These sides have met 2 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 CSKA Moscow — 37%
Pure model vs market (2 · CSKA Moscow): model 42% · market 37% Δ +5 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Lokomotiv Moscow 36.4%, draw 26.9%, win CSKA Moscow 36.7%. Model favourite — CSKA Moscow.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 2.17 46.1% | 2.23 44.8% |
| yes | 1.65 60.6% | 1.66 60.2% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.28 78.1% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.32 75.8% |
| 1x | 1.47 68.0% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.50 66.7% |
| x2 | 1.47 68.0% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.50 66.7% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 3.25 30.8% | |
| X | 2.20 45.5% |
| 3.29 30.4% |
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.76 56.8% |
| Under 1 | 2.08 48.1% |
Lokomotiv Moscow
CSKA Moscow
Full head-to-head historyLokomotiv Moscow - CSKA Moscow
The Lokomotiv Moscow - CSKA Moscow breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
