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Fonbet Russian Cup. Path of the regions. First round
Fonbet Russian Cup. Path of the regions. First round
1-y raund 28.07.2026 15:00 UTC Match prediction
28.07.2026 15:00 UTC 1-y raund
Finished

Fonbet Russian Cup. Path of the regions. First round

2Drots - Orel

Football
2Drots
2Drots
2 : 0
Finished
O
Orel
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 2Drots — 71%

Pure model vs market (1 · 2Drots): model 51% · market 80% Δ −29 pp model estimates below the market

1 · 2Drots ✓ Pick70.5%
market80%
X · draw18.3%
market10%
2 · Orel11.2%
market9%

Model estimate: win 2Drots 70.5%, draw 18.3%, win Orel 11.2%. Model favourite — 2Drots.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

12Drots (odds1.27) Score 2:0 confidence 65% ✓ outcome correct · exact score
  • • Model backs 2Drots: probability 65% vs 79% on the line (odds 1.27)
  • • no edge over the line (-14 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 2:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction 2Drots - Orel July 28, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like 2Drots.

Line favourite Fonbet: 2Drots. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.11 / X 8.50 / 2 9.40
  • Glicko: 2Drots 70.5% / X 18.3% / Orel 11.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 12.5%
1 ✓ Pick 80.1%
X 10.5%
2 9.5%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

2Drots 2 : 1 Orel
11.27
X4.95
29.05

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Participant opinions
444 predictions Choose an outcome
1 76% 98
X 7% 10
2 15% 20
match_qualify match_qualify:w1 1.14 (2) - match_qualify:w2 4.70 (1)
Double chance X2 3.35 (2)
handicap1 handicap1:-1_5 1.74 (54) - handicap2:1_5 1.92 (32) - handicap1:-2_5 2.74 (10)
Total TM 2.5 2.25 (29) - TB 3.5 2.34 (26) - TB 2.5 1.52 (14)
Match center
Stadium Kosmos (Moskva, Russia), vmestimost: 3000
Referee Vladislav Egorov (Istra, Russia)
Start 28.07.2026 15:00 UTC
🥊 Humans vs Machines
👥 Community 2Drots 76%
📐 Math model 2Drots 71%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

2Drots - Orel

Football, 2DROTS - Orel, 28 iyulya 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matches. Vo skolko nachalo matches 2DROTS - Orel, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Fonbet Cup Russia 2026/2027, 1 round.

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Line 1 source Stavka.tv
Player opinions LiveResult 112 - Stavka.tv 16 combined layer without duplicates
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Tournament Line Overview
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

6/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
yes Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
2Drots 71.8% 70.5% market and model agree
Draw 18.0% 18.3% draw risk
Orel 10.2% 11.2%
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 70.5% / 18.3% / 11.2% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,463 / 1,323 2Drots / Orel
RD 263 / 185 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 937-1,989 / 953-1,694 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.23 market consensus · no value · model 11.2%
X 8.50 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.11 Fonbet · no value · model 70.5%
Double chance
12 1.07 Fonbet · no value · model 81.7%
1X 1.08 Fonbet · no value · model 88.8%
X2 6.60 Fonbet · no value · model 29.5%
Handicap
2 -1 2.30 Fonbet · line only
2 0 5.90 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 1.60 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.13 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.56 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.05 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.20 Fonbet · line only
Yes 4.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.20 83.3% 1.77 56.5%
yes 4.50 22.2% 2.06 48.5%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.11 90.1% 1.12 89.3% 1.07 93.5%
1x 1.01 99.0% 1.03 97.1% 1.08 92.6%
x2 3.17 31.6% 3.40 29.4% 6.60 15.2%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
1.76 56.8%
X 2.60 38.5%
9.00 11.1%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.61 62.1%
Over 1.5 2.32 43.1%
Under 1 2.33 42.9%
Under 1.5 1.61 62.1%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

2DrotsLWL
OrelLLLWWDLLWL
Source: ruscore

Odds · 5 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.29 (Winline) · X 5.5 (Liga Stavok) · 2 10.5 (Betcity)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 1.25 5 8.76
Winline 1.29 5.1 9.07
Fonbet 1.25 5 8.76
Betcity 1.25 5.4 10.5
Liga Stavok 1.29 5.5 9.3
Source: ruscore · line comparison
2Drots
D D D
04.07.2026 Championat
2Drots 04.07.2026 Winline Medialiga. 7-y sezon 2DROTS 1 5 : 4 Amkal Za 3-e mesto
27.06.2026 Championat
2Drots 27.06.2026 Winline Medialiga. 7-y sezon FK 10 2 2DROTS 1/2 finala
20.06.2026 Championat
2Drots 20.06.2026 Winline Medialiga. 7-y sezon 2DROTS 0 6 : 7 FK 10 1/2 finala
0 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
- Scored
- Conceded
0 Points
Orel
D D D
13.06.2026 Championat
13.06.2026 Winline Medialiga. 7-y sezon FC ViBE 2 : 4 2DROTS 1/4 finala. 2-y match Orel
07.06.2026 Championat
07.06.2026 Winline Medialiga. 7-y sezon 2DROTS 2 5 : 6 FC ViBE 1/4 finala. 1-y match 2 Wins 1 Draws 2 Losses 1.8 Scored 1.4 Conceded 10+2 Kartochki +2 +2 +1 +4 0 -2 -4 0 -1 0 15 30 45 60 75 Orel
25.07.2026 Championat
25.07.2026 Russia — Leon-Second League B Orel Orel
0 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
- Scored
- Conceded
0 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head history2Drots - Orel

2Drots
0 matches total
Orel
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 2Drots
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Orel
2Drots Team comparison Orel
0 Games 0
0 Wins 0
0 Draws 0
0 Losses 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
0 Points 0
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
0 Shots on goal 0
0 Udary v stvor 0
0 Games 0
0 Wins 0
0 Draws 0
0 Losses 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0

2DROTS Orel 0 Games 0 Wins 0 Draws 0 Losses 0 Scored 0 Conceded 0 Points 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0 Warnings 0 Sendoffs 0 Goly Ilya Mazurov 1:0 30' Mikhail Chernomyrdin 2:0 37' Nakazaniya Arsen Agakhanov 5' Maksim Frolov 12' Artem Tokarev 33'