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Fonbet Russian Cup. Path of the regions. First round
Fonbet Russian Cup. Path of the regions. First round
28.07.2026 10:00 UTC Match prediction
28.07.2026 10:00 UTC
Finished

Fonbet Russian Cup. Path of the regions. First round

Bomik - Broke Boys

Football
B
Bomik
1 : 2
Finished
B
Broke Boys
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Bomik — 49%

1 · Bomik48.8%
X · draw19.6%
2 · Broke Boys31.6%

Model estimate: win Bomik 48.8%, draw 19.6%, win Broke Boys 31.6%. Model favourite — Bomik.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Broke Boys (odds2.32) Score 0:1 Under 4.5 (odds2.20) ✓ Handicap H1 +3.5 (odds1.65) confidence 50% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Model backs Broke Boys: probability 50% vs 43% on the line (odds 2.32)
  • • edge over the line +7 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 0:1
  • • Total: Under 4.5: model expects a total of ~1 goals
  • • at line 4.5 (odds 2.20)
  • • Handicap F1 +3.5: score forecast 0:1 (diff -1) covers the line (odds 1.65).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Bomik - Broke Boys July 28, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Broke Boys.

Line favourite Fonbet: Broke Boys. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 9.90 / X 6.90 / 2 1.02
  • Glicko: Bomik 48.8% / X 19.6% / Broke Boys 31.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 22.6%
1 8.2%
X 11.8%
2 79.9%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Bomik 1 : 1 Broke Boys
19.50
X6.45
21.20

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Participant opinions
116 predictions Choose an outcome
1 45% 53
X 17% 20
2 37% 43
Match center
Stadium Trudovye Reserves (Kazan, Russia), vmestimost: 5000
Referee Stanislav Braschin (Ryazan, Russia)
Start 28.07.2026 10:00 UTC
🥊 Humans vs Machines
👥 Community Bomik 45%
📐 Math model Bomik 49%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Bomik - Broke Boys

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi BoMiK - Fankom Brouk Boyz, 28 iyulya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Fonbet Cup Russia 2026/2027, 1 round. BoMiK - Fankom Brouk Boyz, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 0/4 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Player opinions LiveResult 116 combined layer without duplicates
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
yes Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 1:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 48.8% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.744 / LogLoss 1.152
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 48.8% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.744 / LogLoss 1.152
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Bomik 9.8% 48.8% Glicko contrarian
Draw 14.0% 19.6% draw risk
Broke Boys 76.2% 31.6% market favourite
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 48.8% / 19.6% / 31.6% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,500 / 1,569 Bomik / Broke Boys
RD 350 / 219 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 1,131-2,007 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.02 Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 31.6%
X 6.90 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 9.90 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 48.8%
Double chance
12 1.02 Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 80.4%
X2 1.08 Fonbet · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 51.2%
Handicap
2 +1 1.37 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.12 Fonbet · line only
1 +1 3.10 Fonbet · line only
1 0 6.10 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 3.05 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.38 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.25 Fonbet · line only
Yes 4.05 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.25 80.0% 2.29 43.7%
yes 4.05 24.7% 1.63 61.4%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.02 98.0%
1x 14.00 7.1%
x2 1.08 92.6%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
8.20 12.2%
X 3.29 30.4%
1.56 64.1%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 1.74 57.5%
Over 2 2.15 46.5%
Under 1.5 2.11 47.4%
Under 2 1.71 58.5%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

BomikL
Broke BoysWLWWW
H2H 0-0-1, avg 3.0 gls
2026-07-28 · BoMiK 1:2 Broke Boys
Source: ruscore

Odds · 1 bookmakers

Best price: 1 8.55 (Winline) · X 6.29 (Winline) · 2 1.24 (Winline)
Bookmaker1X2
Winline 8.55 6.29 1.24
Source: ruscore · line comparison

Match stats

45 Ball possession 55
81 Attacks 100
52 Dangerous attacks 59
3 Shots on target 3
1 Shots off target 1
4 Corners 3
0 Yellow cards 1
Source: ruscore
Broke Boys
L W W W
23.09 16:30 UTC+0 Cup
Broke Boys 0:2 FK Sokol Saratov
11.09 16:30 UTC+0 Cup
Broke Boys 2:0 Saturn RamenskoyeSaturn Ramenskoye
21.08 14:00 UTC+0 Cup
Broke Boys 2:1 Avangard KurskAvangard Kursk
06.08 15:00 UTC+0 Cup
Broke Boys 3:2 OrelOrel
3 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.3 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyBomik - Broke Boys

Bomik
0 matches total
Broke Boys
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Bomik
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Broke Boys
Bomik Team comparison Broke Boys
0 Games 0
0 Wins 0
0 Draws 0
0 Losses 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
0 Points 0
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
0 Shots on goal 0
0 Shots on target 0
Sendoffs 0 Goly Kirill Khvastukhin Fedor Smolov 0:1 30' Mikhail Zemskov 0:2 60' Oleg Volkov Artem Bychkov 1:2 87' Nakazaniya Maksim Sukhomlinov 67'

BoMiK Fankom Brouk Boyz 0 Games 0 Wins 0 Draws 0 Losses 0 Scored 0 Conceded 0 Points 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0 Warnings 0 Sendoffs 0 Goly Kirill Khvastukhin Fedor Smolov 0:1 30' Mikhail Zemskov 0:2 60' Oleg Volkov Artem Bychkov 1:2 87' Nakazaniya Maksim Sukhomlinov 67'