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Russia: Premier League Standings

31.07.2026 15:00 UTC

Not started

Russia: Premier League Standings

Rodina Moscow - Rostov

Football

Rodina Moscow

- : -

Not started

Rostov

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Rostov — 40%

Pure model vs market (2 · Rostov): model 38% · market 41% Δ −3 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Rodina Moscow31.4%

X · draw28.2%

2 · Rostov40.4%

Model estimate: win Rodina Moscow 31.4%, draw 28.2%, win Rostov 40.4%. Model favourite — Rostov.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Rostov (odds2.35) Score 0:1 Under 2.5 (odds1.75) Handicap H2 +-0 (odds1.70) confidence 50%

• Model backs Rostov: probability 50% vs 43% on the line (odds 2.35)
• edge over the line +7 pp — value pick
• Expected score 0:1
• Total: Under 2.5: model expects a total of ~1 goals
• at line 2.5 (odds 1.75)
• Handicap F2 +0: score forecast 0:1 (diff -1) covers the line (odds 1.70).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Rodina Moscow - Rostov July 31, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Rostov. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 3.20 / X 3.35 / 2 2.40

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.8%

1 30.4%

X 29.0%

2 40.5%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 P1 3.10 → 3.10

1X2 X 3.35 → 3.35

1X2 P2 2.35 → 2.35

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Stadium Arena Khimki (Khimki, Russia), vmestimost: 18636

Referee Danil Naboka (Krasnodar, Russia)

Start 31.07.2026 15:00 UTC

Match center

Rodina Moscow - Rostov

Football, Rodina - Rostov, 31 iyulya 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matches. Vo skolko nachalo matches Rodina - Rostov, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Championship Russia po futbolu 2026-2027 (RPL, Premier League), 2 round.

Form 1/1 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 3 model / bookmakers

SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.

Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.

Transfermarkt squad

Present in data

Market Form Match Participants Line Movement

More needed

H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore

Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries

Overview championat, soccer365

Table championat, Flashscore

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Rodina Moscow 30.9% 31.4%

Draw 28.6% 28.2% draw risk

Rostov 40.5% 40.4% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 31.4% / 28.2% / 40.4% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,301 / 1,400 Rodina Moscow / Rostov

RD 291 / 291 rating uncertainty

r +/- 2RD 719-1,883 / 818-1,982 strength interval

HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.40 Fonbet · no value · model 40.4%

X 3.35 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 3.20 Fonbet · no value · model 31.4%

Double chance

12 1.35 Fonbet · no value · model 71.8%

1X 1.60 Fonbet · no value · model 59.6%

X2 1.38 Fonbet · no value · model 68.6%

Handicap

2 -1 1.15 Fonbet · line only

2 +1 3.95 Fonbet · line only

2 0 1.70 Fonbet · line only

1 -1 5.60 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.10 Fonbet · line only

Under 2.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.97 Fonbet · line only

Yes 1.83 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Fonbet	Leon
no	1.97 50.8%	1.96 51.0%
yes	1.83 54.6%	1.86 53.8%

Double chance

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
12	1.32 75.8%	1.34 74.6%	1.35 74.1%
1x	1.58 63.3%	1.59 62.9%	1.60 62.5%
x2	1.35 74.1%	1.38 72.5%	1.38 72.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	3.79 26.4%
X	2.08 48.1%
	2.99 33.4%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome	Leon
Over 1	1.95 51.3%
Under 1	1.79 55.9%

Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 0-0-1, avg 5.0 gls

2025-01-19 · Rodina 2:3 Rostov

Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 3.05 (Pari) · X 3.45 (Pari) · 2 2.4 (Betcity)

Bookmaker	1	X	2
Pari	3.05	3.45	2.35
Winline	2.9	3.3	2.35
Fonbet	3.05	3.45	2.35
Betcity	3	3.4	2.4

Source: ruscore · line comparison

Rodina Moscow

25.07 15:45 UTC Russia: Premier League Standings

Rodina Moscow 0:3 Spartak Moskva

0 Wins

0 Draws

1 Losses

0.0 Scored

3.0 Conceded

0 Points

Rostov

26.07 14:30 UTC Russia: Premier League Standings

Rostov 1:2 Orenburg

0 Wins

0 Draws

1 Losses

1.0 Scored

2.0 Conceded

0 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyRodina Moscow - Rostov

Rodina Moscow

0 matches total

Rostov

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Rodina Moscow

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Rostov

1 Games 1

0 Wins 0

0 Draws 0

1 Losses 1

0 Scored 1

3 Conceded 2

0 Points 0

0 Attacks 0

0 Dangerous attacks 0

0 Big chances 0

7 Shots on goal 14

4 Shots on target 5

kstovuyu onlayn-translyatsiyu matches vtorogo tura RPL: «Rodina» — «Rostov». Nachalo vstrechi zaplanirovano na 20:00 po moskovskomu vremeni.

ot matches Kubka Russia Ekspress na voskresene: Stankovich v gonke, Gvardiola stradaet bez Kholanda Yarkiy Football and transfery. Chego zhdat ot Zimnego Kubka RPL «Rostov» — «Spartak». Sostoyanie krasno-belykh — podarok dlya K

Rodina Rostov 1 Games 1 0 Wins 0 Draws 0 1 Losses 1 0 Scored 1 3 Conceded 2 0 Points 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 7 Shots on goal 14 4 Udary v stvor 5 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 4 Uglovye 6 0 Offsaydy 1 13 Foly 16 41 % vladeniya myachom 59 3 Warnings 6 0 Sendoffs 0 Glavnye trenery Glavnye trenery Khuan Dias Glavnye trenery Dzhonatan Alba 0' Privetstvuem vsekh lyubiteley futbola! Rady predlozhit vashemu vnimaniyu tekstovuyu onlayn-translyatsiyu matches vtorogo tura RPL: «Rodina» — «Rostov». Nachalo vstrechi zaplanirovano na 20:00 po moskovskomu vremeni. Rezultaty golosovaniya Iskhod v osnovnoe vremya 33% 25% 42% Double chance 29% 37% 34% Materialy po prognozam Ne speshite otpravlyat «Rodinu» v Pervuyu ligu Kto stanet luchshim klubom Moskvy v novom sezone RPL? Talalaev otomstit «Zenitu», proverka ambitsiy Karsedo. Chego zhdat ot matches Kubka Russia Ekspress na voskresene: Stankovich v gonke, Gvardiola stradaet bez Kholanda Yarkiy Football and transfery. Chego zhdat ot Zimnego Kubka RPL «Rostov» — «Spartak». Sostoyanie krasno-belykh — podarok dlya Karpina «Rostov» — «Rubin». Rano khvatatsya za golovu! «Ural» — «Rostov». Karpin and Goncharenko po-drugomu ne umeyut «Krylya Sovetov» — «Rostov».