Romania: Liga 2 Standings
Dumbrevitsa - Satu Mare
Dumbrevitsa meet Satu Mare on August 4, 2026 in the Romania: Liga 2 Standings.
Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Dumbrevitsa — 74%
Pure model vs market (1 · Dumbrevitsa): model 44% · market 76% Δ −32 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Dumbrevitsa 73.7%, draw 18.2%, win Satu Mare 8.1%. Model favourite — Dumbrevitsa.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Dumbrevitsa: probability 50% vs 44% on the line (odds 2.29)
- • edge over the line +6 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 1:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Dumbrevitsa - Satu Mare August 4, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.26 / X 5.20 / 2 14.50
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Dumbrevitsa - Satu Mare
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.10 90.9% | 1.13 88.5% |
| x2 | 3.70 27.0% | 3.80 26.3% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.69 59.2% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.78 56.2% | |
| 2.00 50.0% | 2.03 49.3% | 1.92 52.1% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1.69 59.2% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.71 58.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 2.00 50.0% | 2.03 49.3% | 2.03 49.3% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.21 82.6% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.26 79.4% | |
| X | 5.10 19.6% | 5.20 19.2% | 4.76 21.0% |
| 14.00 7.1% | 14.50 6.9% | 12.60 7.9% |
Full head-to-head historyDumbrevitsa - Satu Mare
Match history
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The Dumbrevitsa - Satu Mare breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form