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Romania: Liga 2 Standings
Romania: Liga 2 Standings
05.08.2026 15:00 UTC
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form –H2H ✓Prediction
05.08.2026 15:00 UTC
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Romania: Liga 2 Standings

Dumbrăviţa - CSM Satu Mare

Football
D
Dumbrăviţa
- : -
Not started
C
CSM Satu Mare

Dumbrăviţa face CSM Satu Mare on August 5, 2026 in the Romania: Liga 2 Standings.

Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Dumbrăviţa — 74%

Pure model vs market (1 · Dumbrăviţa): model 44% · market 76% Δ −32 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Dumbrăviţa ✓ Pick73.7%
market76%
X · draw18.2%
market18%
2 · CSM Satu Mare8.1%
market7%

Model estimate: win Dumbrăviţa 73.7%, draw 18.2%, win CSM Satu Mare 8.1%. Model favourite — Dumbrăviţa.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Dumbrăviţa (odds2.29) Score 1:0 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Dumbrevitsa: probability 50% vs 44% on the line (odds 2.29)
  • • edge over the line +6 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Dumbrăviţa - CSM Satu Mare August 5, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Dumbrăviţa. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.32 / X 5.20 / 2 14.50

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.1% 3 books · best price +8.2%
1 ✓ Pick 75.6%
X 17.9%
2 6.5%

Odds source: consensus of 3 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Liga II
League table
Dumbrăviţa
#160 ptsGP 00-0-00:0
CSM Satu Mare
#130 ptsGP 00-0-00:0
Best price across 7 books
1 1.33 Betano
X 5.00 Betfair
2 11.00 10Bet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Dumbrăviţa
W-D-L 4-2-4 Scored 0.90 Conceded 0.80 xG 1.12 xGA 1.35
CSM Satu Mare
W-D-L 5-3-2 Scored 2.11 Conceded 1.40 xG 1.24 xGA 1.39

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Dumbrăviţa
Rating 1450 xG 1.83 Win 63%
CSM Satu Mare
Rating 1439 xG 0.74 Win 15%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Dumbrăviţa 2 : 2 CSM Satu Mare
11.27
X4.55
210.50

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center
Start 05.08.2026 15:00 UTC
Market 1 74.4% @ 1.32 / X 18.9% @ 5.20 / 2 6.8% @ 14.50
Match center

Dumbrăviţa - CSM Satu Mare

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Dumbrăviţa 75.6% 73.7% market and model agree
Draw 17.9% 18.2% draw risk
CSM Satu Mare 6.5% 8.1%
xG - 1.83 : 0.74

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 73.7% / 18.2% / 8.1% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,500 / 1,500 ACS Dumbravita / Satu Mare
RD 350 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
X 4.92 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.25 market consensus · no value · model 73.7%
Double chance
12 1.12 market consensus · no value · model 81.8%
X2 3.75 market consensus · no value · model 26.3%
Total
Over 2.5 1.70 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.02 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.68 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.06 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.68 59.5%
yes 2.06 48.5%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.10 90.9% 1.13 88.5%
x2 3.70 27.0% 3.80 26.3%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
1.76 56.8%
X 2.43 41.2%
8.40 11.9%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 2.34 42.7%
Under 1.5 1.48 67.6%