Russia: FNL 2 - Division A Zoloto - Osenniy sezon Standings
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Volgar — 44%
Pure model vs market (2 · Volgar): model 31% · market 43% Δ −12 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Alania 29.5%, draw 26.8%, win Volgar 43.7%. Model favourite — Volgar.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.23 81.3% | 1.26 79.4% |
| 1x | 1.58 63.3% | 1.63 61.4% |
| x2 | 1.30 76.9% | 1.36 73.5% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.20 45.5% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.20 45.5% | |
| 1.59 62.9% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.60 62.5% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1.75 57.1% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.76 56.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 1.95 51.3% | 1.96 51.0% | 1.96 51.0% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.00 33.3% | 2.90 34.5% | 3.07 32.6% | |
| X | 3.47 28.8% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.58 27.9% |
| 2.13 47.0% | 2.14 46.7% | 2.20 45.5% |
Alania
Dinamo Bryansk
Volgar
Mashuk-KMV
Dinamo Kirov
Full head-to-head historyAlania - Volgar
The Alania - Volgar breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
