Russia: FNL 2 - Division A Zoloto - Osenniy sezon Standings
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Dynamo Kirov — 43%
Pure model vs market (1 · Dynamo Kirov): model 31% · market 44% Δ −13 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Dynamo Kirov 43.3%, draw 28.6%, win Kaluga 28.1%. Model favourite — Dynamo Kirov.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.27 78.7% | 1.34 74.6% |
| 1x | 1.24 80.7% | 1.26 79.4% |
| x2 | 1.61 62.1% | 1.65 60.6% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.50 66.7% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.50 66.7% | |
| 2.40 41.7% | 2.42 41.3% | 2.41 41.5% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1.90 52.6% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.90 52.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 1.80 55.6% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.80 55.6% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.07 48.3% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.14 46.7% | |
| X | 3.15 31.8% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.26 30.7% |
| 3.40 29.4% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.51 28.5% |
Dynamo Kirov
Volgar
Kaluga
Sibir Novosibirsk
Full head-to-head historyDynamo Kirov - Kaluga
The Dynamo Kirov - Kaluga breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
