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Russia: FNL 2 - Division A Zoloto - Osenniy sezon Standings
Russia: FNL 2 - Division A Zoloto - Osenniy sezon Standings
01.08.2026 13:30 UTC
01.08.2026 13:30 UTC
Not started

Russia: FNL 2 - Division A Zoloto - Osenniy sezon Standings

Mashuk KMV - Sokol

Football
Mashuk KMV
Mashuk KMV
- : -
Not started
S
Sokol
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Sokol — 57%

1 · Mashuk KMV24.6%
X · draw18.5%
2 · Sokol ✓ Pick56.9%

Model estimate: win Mashuk KMV 24.6%, draw 18.5%, win Sokol 56.9%. Model favourite — Sokol.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Sokol (odds1.95) Score 0:1 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Sokol: probability 50% vs 51% on the line (odds 1.95)
  • • no edge over the line (-1 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 0:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Mashuk KMV - Sokol August 1, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Sokol. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.25 / X 3.50 / 2 1.95

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.6%
1 27.8%
X 25.8%
2 ✓ Pick 46.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 13:30 UTC
Market 1 27.8% @ 3.25 / X 25.8% @ 3.50 / 2 46.4% @ 1.95
Match center

Mashuk KMV - Sokol

Form 5/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Mashuk KMV 27.8% 24.6%
Draw 25.8% 18.5% draw risk
Sokol 46.4% 56.9% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 24.6% / 18.5% / 56.9% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,219 / 1,556 Mashuk KMV / Sokol
RD 223 / 278 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 774-1,665 / 1,001-2,112 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.95 market consensus · value +11.0% · model 56.9%
X 3.50 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 3.25 market consensus · no value · model 24.6%
Total
Over 2.5 1.95 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.70 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Total

Outcome Leon
Over 2.5 1.95 51.3%
Under 2.5 1.70 58.8%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Leon
3.25 30.8%
X 3.50 28.6%
1.95 51.3%
Match center
Mashuk KMV
W D L W W
26.07 13:00 UTC+0 Russia: FNL 2 - Division A Zoloto - Osenniy sezon Standings
Mashuk KMV 2:1 VolgarVolgar
19.07 11:30 UTC+0 Russia: FNL 2 - Division A Zoloto - Osenniy sezon Standings
Mashuk KMV 0:0 Dinamo BryanskDinamo Bryansk
13.06 11:00 UTC+0 Russia: FNL 2 - Division A Zoloto - Vesenniy sezon Standings
Mashuk KMV 0:3 KalugaKaluga
07.06 11:00 UTC+0 Russia: FNL 2 - Division A Zoloto - Vesenniy sezon Standings
Mashuk KMV 1:0 Veles MoskvaVeles Moskva
31.05 10:00 UTC+0 Russia: FNL 2 - Division A Zoloto - Vesenniy sezon Standings
Mashuk KMV 2:0 Sibir NovosibirskSibir Novosibirsk
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.8 Conceded
10 Points
Sokol
L D
26.07 12:30 UTC Russia: FNL 2 - Division A Zoloto - Osenniy sezon Standings
Sokol 1:5 Dinamo KirovDinamo Kirov
19.07 12:30 UTC Russia: FNL 2 - Division A Zoloto - Osenniy sezon Standings
Sokol 1:1 KalugaKaluga
0 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMashuk KMV - Sokol

Mashuk KMV
0 matches total
Sokol
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history