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Russia: FNL 2 - Division A Zoloto - Osenniy sezon Standings
Russia: FNL 2 - Division A Zoloto - Osenniy sezon Standings
02.08.2026 10:00 UTC
Not started

Russia: FNL 2 - Division A Zoloto - Osenniy sezon Standings

Novosibirsk - Rodina Moskva II

Football
Novosibirsk
Novosibirsk
- : -
Not started
Rodina Moskva II
Rodina Moskva II

Novosibirsk take on Rodina Moskva II on August 2, 2026 in the Russia: FNL 2 - Division A Zoloto - Osenniy sezon Standings.

Recent form (W-D-L): Novosibirsk 2-0-0, Rodina Moskva II 1-1-0. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Novosibirsk49%

Pure model vs market (1 · Novosibirsk): model 57% · market 49% Δ +8 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Novosibirsk49.2%
X · draw26.9%
2 · Rodina Moskva II23.9%

Model estimate: win Novosibirsk 49.2%, draw 26.9%, win Rodina Moskva II 23.9%. Model favourite — Novosibirsk.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Novosibirsk (odds2.02) Score 1:0 confidence 50%
  • Model backs Sibir Novosibirsk: probability 50% vs 50% on the line (odds 2.02)
  • legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey
  • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Novosibirsk - Rodina Moskva II August 2, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Novosibirsk. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.94 / X 3.46 / 2 3.92

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.0%
1 48.6%
X 27.3%
2 24.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Second League A - Division A Gold
League table
Novosibirsk
#16 ptsGP 22-0-03:1
Rodina Moskva II
#44 ptsGP 21-1-02:1
Best price across 3 books
1 1.88 1xBet
X 3.35 Dafabet
2 3.80 Dafabet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Novosibirsk
W-D-L 6-2-2 Scored 1.40 Conceded 0.98 xG 1.55 xGA 1.10
Rodina Moskva II
W-D-L 3-4-3 Scored 1.19 Conceded 1.16 xG 1.22 xGA 1.32

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Novosibirsk
Rating 1596 xG 1.46 Win 47%
Rodina Moskva II
Rating 1459 xG 1.02 Win 26%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Novosibirsk 1 : 1 Rodina Moskva II
11.88
X3.32
23.72

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 02.08.2026 10:00 UTC
Market 1 48.6% @ 1.94 / X 27.3% @ 3.46 / 2 24.1% @ 3.92
Match center

Novosibirsk - Rodina Moskva II

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Novosibirsk 48.6% 49.2% market and model agree
Draw 27.3% 26.9% draw risk
Rodina Moskva II 24.1% 23.9%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 49.2% / 26.9% / 23.9% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,727 / 1,435 Sibir Novosibirsk / Rodina 2
RD 190 / 174 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,347-2,107 / 1,086-1,783 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.77 market consensus · no value · model 23.9%
X 3.37 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.91 market consensus · no value · model 49.2%
Double chance
12 1.27 market consensus · no value · model 73.1%
1X 1.22 market consensus · no value · model 76.1%
X2 1.77 market consensus · no value · model 50.8%
Handicap
2 +1 1.41 market consensus · line only
1 -1 2.70 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.90 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.80 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.94 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.84 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.94 51.6%
yes 1.84 54.4%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.24 80.7% 1.29 77.5%
1x 1.19 84.0% 1.24 80.7%
x2 1.76 56.8% 1.78 56.2%

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
2.70 37.0% 2.70 37.0% 2.71 36.9%
1.40 71.4% 1.41 70.9% 1.41 70.9%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
Over 2.5 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.90 52.6%
Under 2.5 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6%
Match center
Novosibirsk
W W
26.07 09:00 UTC Russia: FNL 2 - Division A Zoloto - Osenniy sezon Standings
Novosibirsk 1:0 KalugaKaluga
19.07 06:00 UTC Russia: FNL 2 - Division A Zoloto - Osenniy sezon Standings
Novosibirsk 2:1 Dinamo VladivostokDinamo Vladivostok
2 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
1.5 Scored
0.5 Conceded
6 Points
Rodina Moskva II
D W
25.07 14:00 UTC Russia: FNL 2 - Division A Zoloto - Osenniy sezon Standings
Rodina Moskva II 0:0 Dinamo VladivostokDinamo Vladivostok
19.07 12:00 UTC Russia: FNL 2 - Division A Zoloto - Osenniy sezon Standings
Rodina Moskva II 2:1 AlaniyaAlaniya
1 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.5 Conceded
4 Points