Russia. League 1. Season 26/27
Torpedo Moscow - Sochi
Torpedo Moscow face Sochi on August 7, 2026 in the Russia. League 1. Season 26/27.
Recent form (W-D-L): Torpedo Moscow 3-1-1, Sochi 1-2-2. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Torpedo Moscow — 56%
Model estimate: win Torpedo Moscow 56.1%, draw 19.3%, win Sochi 24.6%. Model favourite — Torpedo Moscow.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Torpedo Moskva: probability 50% vs 46% on the line (odds 2.19)
- • edge over the line +4 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 1:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Torpedo Moscow - Sochi August 7, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.60 / X 3.00 / 2 2.85
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Torpedo Moscow - Sochi
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| no | 1.75 57.1% |
| yes | 2.00 50.0% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.35 74.1% |
| 1x | 1.40 71.4% |
| x2 | 1.47 68.0% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.12 89.3% | |
| 1.08 92.6% | |
| 4.70 21.3% | |
| 5.70 17.5% | |
| 1.80 55.6% | |
| 5.10 19.6% | |
| 6.10 16.4% | |
| 1.14 87.7% | |
| 1.09 91.7% | |
| 1.95 51.3% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.08 92.6% |
| Over 1 | 1.13 88.5% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.48 67.6% |
| Over 2 | 1.78 56.2% |
| Over 2.5 | 2.35 42.6% |
| Over 3 | 3.55 28.2% |
| Over 3.5 | 4.20 23.8% |
| Under 0.5 | 6.00 16.7% |
| Under 1 | 4.80 20.8% |
| Under 1.5 | 2.50 40.0% |
| Under 2 | 1.92 52.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 1.57 63.7% |
| Under 3 | 1.25 80.0% |
| Under 3.5 | 1.17 85.5% |
Torpedo Moscow
Sochi
Full head-to-head historyTorpedo Moscow - Sochi
Match history
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The Torpedo Moscow - Sochi breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form