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Russia. League 1. Season 26/27
Russia. League 1. Season 26/27
02.08.2026 16:30 UTC
02.08.2026 16:30 UTC
Not started

Russia. League 1. Season 26/27

Veles Moscow - Rotor

Football
Veles Moscow
Veles Moscow
- : -
Not started
Rotor
Rotor

Veles Moscow go head-to-head with Rotor on August 2, 2026 in the Russia. League 1. Season 26/27.

Recent form (W-D-L): Veles Moscow 3-0-2, Rotor 3-0-2. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Rotor — 47%

Pure model vs market (2 · Rotor): model 34% · market 49% Δ −15 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Veles Moscow23.8%
X · draw28.8%
2 · Rotor47.4%

Model estimate: win Veles Moscow 23.8%, draw 28.8%, win Rotor 47.4%. Model favourite — Rotor.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Rotor (odds1.94) Score 0:1 Under 2 (odds1.95) Handicap H2 +-0 (odds1.40) confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Rotor: probability 50% vs 51% on the line (odds 1.94)
  • • no edge over the line (-1 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 0:1
  • • Total: Under 2: model expects a total of ~1 goals
  • • at line 2 (odds 1.95)
  • • Handicap F2 +0: score forecast 0:1 (diff -1) covers the line (odds 1.40).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Veles Moscow - Rotor August 2, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Rotor. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 4.20 / X 3.25 / 2 1.92

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.7%
1 22.3%
X 28.8%
2 48.8%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1 4.20 → 4.20
1X2 X 3.25 → 3.25
1X2 P2 1.92 → 1.92

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 02.08.2026 16:30 UTC
Market 1 22.3% @ 4.20 / X 28.8% @ 3.25 / 2 48.8% @ 1.92
Match center

Veles Moscow - Rotor

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Veles Moscow 22.6% 23.8%
Draw 29.1% 28.8% draw risk
Rotor 48.3% 47.4% market and model agree

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 23.8% / 28.8% / 47.4% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,492 / 1,511 Veles Moscow / Rotor
RD 178 / 219 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,137-1,847 / 1,074-1,948 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.92 Fonbet · no value · model 47.4%
X 3.25 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 4.20 Fonbet · no value · model 23.8%
Double chance
12 1.32 Fonbet · no value · model 71.2%
1X 1.82 Fonbet · no value · model 52.6%
X2 1.20 Fonbet · no value · model 76.2%
Handicap
2 -1 2.80 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.90 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.40 Fonbet · line only
1 +1 1.35 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.35 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.70 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.10 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.70 58.8% 1.68 59.5%
yes 2.10 47.6% 2.07 48.3%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.31 76.3% 1.32 75.8% 1.32 75.8%
1x 1.77 56.5% 1.78 56.2% 1.82 55.0%
x2 1.20 83.3% 1.21 82.6% 1.20 83.3%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
5.20 19.2%
X 2.00 50.0%
2.66 37.6%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 2.21 45.3%
Under 1 1.59 62.9%
Match center
Veles Moscow
L W W L W
2026-07-26 1. Liga 26/27
Veles Moscow Yenisey 4:1 Veles Moscow
2026-07-19 1. Liga 26/27
Veles Moscow Veles Moscow 1:0 Chelyabinsk
2026-07-11 1. Liga 26/27
Veles Moscow Neftekhimik 0:1 Veles Moscow
2026-06-21 2. Liga, Division A 25/26, Promotion Playoffs
Veles Moscow FC Sibir 2:1 Veles Moscow
2026-06-17 2. Liga, Division A 25/26, Promotion Playoffs
Veles Moscow Veles Moscow 4:1 FC Sibir
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.4 Conceded
9 Points
Rotor
W W L W L
2026-07-27 1. Liga 26/27
KAMAZ 0:2 Rotor Rotor
2026-07-20 1. Liga 26/27
Rotor 1:0 SKA Khabarovsk Rotor
2026-07-12 1. Liga 26/27
Nizhny Novgorod 4:2 Rotor Rotor
2026-05-23 Premier League 25/26, Relegation/Promotion
Akron Tolyatti 0:1 Rotor Rotor
2026-05-20 Premier League 25/26, Relegation/Promotion
Rotor 0:2 Akron Tolyatti Rotor
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.2 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyVeles Moscow - Rotor

Veles Moscow
0 matches total
Rotor
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history