Russia. Youth Championship. Division A
Fakel (youth) - Dynamo Makhachkala (youth)
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Fakel (youth) — 37%
Pure model vs market (1 · Fakel (youth)): model 43% · market 38% Δ +5 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Fakel (youth) 37.4%, draw 29.4%, win Dynamo Makhachkala (youth) 33.2%. Model favourite — Fakel (youth).
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Fakel U19: probability 50% vs 39% on the line (odds 2.55)
- • edge over the line +11 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 1:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Fakel (youth) - Dynamo Makhachkala (youth) July 31, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.50 / X 3.13 / 2 3.03
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Score prediction: third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Fakel (youth) - Dynamo Makhachkala (youth)
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.37 42.2% |
| yes | 1.52 65.8% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.26 79.4% | 1.32 75.8% |
| 1x | 1.32 75.8% | 1.38 72.5% |
| x2 | 1.40 71.4% | 1.47 68.0% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.77 36.1% | |
| X | 2.30 43.5% |
| 3.28 30.5% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.57 63.7% |
| Under 1 | 2.21 45.3% |
Form & head-to-head
Odds · 4 bookmakers
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 2.4 | 3.05 | 3 |
| Winline | 2.34 | 3.05 | 2.9 |
| Fonbet | 2.4 | 3.05 | 3 |
| Betcity | 2.5 | 3.1 | 2.8 |
Pari NN U19
Lokomotiv Moskva U19
Full head-to-head historyFakel (youth) - Dynamo Makhachkala (youth)
Match history
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The Fakel (youth) - Dynamo Makhachkala (youth) breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form