Russia. Youth Championship. Division A
Fakel (youth) - Krasnodar (youth)
Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
2Krasnodar (youth) — 72%
The most likely outcome per the model. Reliability, NOT a profit guarantee.
1Fakel (youth) — odds 15.00 · edge +3.9% · 4 bookies
The model rates the probability higher than the price implies. Elevated risk/variance; the signal is not confirmed on a large sample.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Fakel (youth) - Krasnodar (youth) July 3, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 15.00 / X 12.50 / 2 1.02
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Fakel (youth) - Krasnodar (youth)
What data is collected and where it is shown
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.20 83.3% | 2.19 45.7% |
| yes | 4.05 24.7% | 1.61 62.1% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.04 96.2% | 1.08 92.6% | 1.01 99.0% |
| 1x | 4.10 24.4% | 4.40 22.7% | 12.50 8.0% |
| x2 | — | 1.02 98.0% | 1.01 99.0% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 8.90 11.2% | |
| X | 3.49 28.7% |
| 1.43 69.9% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 1.62 61.7% |
| Under 1.5 | 2.11 47.4% |
Full head-to-head historyFakel (youth) - Krasnodar (youth)