Russia. Youth Championship. Division A
Lokomotiv Moscow (youth) - Nizhny Novgorod (youth)
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Lokomotiv Moscow (youth) — 76%
Pure model vs market (1 · Lokomotiv Moscow (youth)): model 64% · market 78% Δ −14 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Lokomotiv Moscow (youth) 76.2%, draw 15.6%, win Nizhny Novgorod (youth) 8.2%. Model favourite — Lokomotiv Moscow (youth).
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Lokomotiv Moskva U19: probability 64% vs 83% on the line (odds 1.20)
- • no edge over the line (-19 pp) — informational only
- • Expected score 2:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Lokomotiv Moscow (youth) - Nizhny Novgorod (youth) July 31, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.23 / X 6.30 / 2 13.50
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Buy the full AI analysis
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Lokomotiv Moscow (youth) - Nizhny Novgorod (youth)
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.18 45.9% |
| yes | 1.61 62.1% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Betcity |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.10 90.9% |
| x2 | 4.00 25.0% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.48 67.6% | |
| X | 3.32 30.1% |
| 8.10 12.4% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 1.68 59.5% |
| Under 1.5 | 2.02 49.5% |
Odds · 4 bookmakers
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pari | 1.2 | 5.8 | 12 |
| Winline | 1.2 | 5.6 | 11 |
| Fonbet | 1.2 | 5.8 | 12 |
| Betcity | 1.2 | 5.8 | 13.5 |
Lokomotiv Moscow (youth)
Nizhny Novgorod (youth)
Full head-to-head historyLokomotiv Moscow (youth) - Nizhny Novgorod (youth)
Match history
Unlock the full match prediction
The Lokomotiv Moscow (youth) - Nizhny Novgorod (youth) breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form