Russia. Youth Championship. Division A
Russia. Youth Championship. Division A
03.07.2026 10:00 UTC
Finished

Russia. Youth Championship. Division A

Nizhny Novgorod (youth) - Ural U19

Futbol
Nizhny Novgorod (youth)
Nizhny Novgorod (youth)
1 : 0
Finished
U
Ural U19

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Nizhny Novgorod (youth) - Ural U19 July 3, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Ural U19.

Line favourite market consensus: Ural U19. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.84 / X 3.56 / 2 2.12
  • 1X2 market: Nizhny Novgorod (youth) 31.9% / X 25.5% / Ural U19 42.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.5%
1 31.9%
X 25.4%
2 42.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Youth Championship
League table
Nizhny Novgorod (youth)
#129 ptsGP 129-2-139:14
WWDWW
Ural U19
#817 ptsGP 125-2-518:22
WWDLW
Best price across 2 books
1 1.28 1xBet
X 5.35 Marathonbet
2 7.65 1xBet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Nizhny Novgorod (youth)
W-D-L 7-2-1 Scored 3.00 Conceded 1.20 xG 2.38 xGA 1.15
Ural U19
W-D-L 5-2-3 Scored 1.50 Conceded 1.49 xG 1.70 xGA 1.56

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Nizhny Novgorod (youth)
Rating 1819 xG 2.35 Win 72%
Ural U19
Rating 1551 xG 0.80 Win 11%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 03.07.2026 10:00 UTC
Match center

Nizhny Novgorod (youth) - Ural U19

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.12 market consensus · line only
X 4.00 Fonbet · line only
1 1.28 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.20 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.02 Fonbet · line only
X2 3.20 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.17 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 2.95 Fonbet · line only
2 0 5.00 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 4.15 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.42 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.49 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.68 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.05 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 1xBet Dafabet Marathonbet
2.86 35.0% 2.85 35.1% 2.81 35.6%
X 3.54 28.3% 3.60 27.8% 3.54 28.3%
2.14 46.7% 2.11 47.4% 2.12 47.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 1.68 59.5%
yes 2.05 48.8%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.20 83.3%
1x 1.02 98.0%
x2 3.20 31.3%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.32 75.8%
1.01 99.0%
1.09 91.7%
4.15 24.1%
9.50 10.5%
7.20 13.9%
11.50 8.7%
11.00 9.1%
2.95 33.9%
11.00 9.1%
5.70 17.5%
12.00 8.3%
1.17 85.5%
1.02 98.0%
1.05 95.2%
1.01 99.0%
1.01 99.0%
5.00 20.0%