Russia: Premier League Standings
Fakel meet Akhmat on August 10, 2026 in the Russia: Premier League Standings.
Recent form (W-D-L): Fakel 1-1-3, Akhmat 2-2-1. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Fakel — 49%
Model estimate: win Fakel 49.4%, draw 20.6%, win Akhmat 30.1%. Model favourite — Fakel.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: Fonbet line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| no | 1.78 56.2% |
| yes | 1.98 50.5% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.35 74.1% |
| 1x | 1.65 60.6% |
| x2 | 1.35 74.1% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 1.25 80.0% | |
| 1.16 86.2% | |
| 6.20 16.1% | |
| 7.10 14.1% | |
| 2.30 43.5% | |
| 3.55 28.2% | |
| 4.30 23.3% | |
| 1.07 93.5% | |
| 1.05 95.2% | |
| 1.63 61.4% |
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.07 93.5% |
| Over 1 | 1.12 89.3% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.45 69.0% |
| Over 2 | 1.75 57.1% |
| Over 2.5 | 2.30 43.5% |
| Over 3 | 3.40 29.4% |
| Over 3.5 | 4.30 23.3% |
| Under 0.5 | 6.20 16.1% |
| Under 1 | 5.10 19.6% |
| Under 1.5 | 2.65 37.7% |
| Under 2 | 2.05 48.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 1.62 61.7% |
| Under 3 | 1.27 78.7% |
| Under 3.5 | 1.20 83.3% |
Fakel
Akhmat
Full head-to-head historyFakel - Akhmat
The Fakel - Akhmat breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
