Krasnodar face Akhmat on August 5, 2026 in the Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27.
Recent form (W-D-L): Krasnodar 4-1-0, Akhmat 2-2-1. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1Krasnodar — 58%
Pure model vs market (1 · Krasnodar): model 46% · market 59%Δ −13 ppmodel estimates below the market
58%1
1 · Krasnodar58.1%
market59%
X · draw23.1%
market23%
2 · Akhmat18.9%
market18%
Model estimate: win Krasnodar 58.1%, draw 23.1%, win Akhmat 18.9%. Model favourite — Krasnodar.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🤖AI agent prediction
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
1Krasnodar (odds2.25)Score 1:0confidence 50%
•Model backs Krasnodar: probability 50% vs 44% on the line (odds 2.25)
•edge over the line +6 pp — value pick
•Expected score 1:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
*
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Krasnodar - Akhmat August 5, 2026
Football math model
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Krasnodar. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.62 / X 4.00 / 2 5.60
%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
⇅
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P11.65↓ 1.62
1X2 X4.00→ 4.00
1X2 P25.30↑ 5.60
↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
⚽
SStats data
Statistics and model
Cup
Best price
across 6 books
11.651xBet
X4.25Marathonbet
25.29Pinnacle
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Model form (Glicko)
Krasnodar
Rating 1710xG 1.85Win 58%
Akhmat
Rating 1450xG 0.96Win 19%
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
AI
Model consensus
AI outcome leader: 1
Main outcome
Agreement1/1
Confidence62.0%
Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.
🧮
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Krasnodar2:1Akhmat
11.66
X4.20
25.15
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
*
AI overview
AI predictions
AI analysis:2/7 ready· Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2
Google AIupdated03.08.2026 18:45 UTC
148%✓ favourite
X29%
223%
Score1:0Total goals: Under 2.5BTTS:NoBet:Under 2.5
Per AI dataH2H: 1-0
Claudeupdated03.08.2026 18:50 UTC
147%✓ favourite
X26%
227%
Score1:1Total goals: Over 1.5BTTS:YesBet:Double chance 1X (Krasnodar or draw)
AI consensus:1
AI
1
X
2
Score
Total goals
BTTS
Bet
Google AI
48%
29%
23%
1:0
Under 2.5
No
Under 2.5
Claude
47%
26%
27%
1:1
Over 1.5
Yes
Double chance 1X (Krasnodar or draw)
Buy the full AI analysis
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
football, Krasnodar - Akhmat, 5 avgusta 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matcha. Vo skolko nachalo matcha Krasnodar - Akhmat, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Fonbet Cup Russia 2026/2027, Group B. 1-y Round.
Form5/5
recent games
H2H0
head-to-head matches
Market3
model / bookmakers
SportsMolepreview
Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscorecontext
Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Football math model.
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
OutcomeLineGlickoSignal
Krasnodar58.8%58.1%market and model agree
Draw23.1%23.1%draw risk
Akhmat18.1%18.9%
xG-1.85 : 0.96
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Football math model
P1 / X / P258.1% / 23.1% / 18.9%
outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating1,600 / 1,552
Krasnodar / Akhmat
RD265 / 250
rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD1,069-2,130 / 1,051-2,052
strength interval
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting snapshot
1X2
25.60
Fonbet · no value · model 18.9%
X4.00
Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
11.62
Fonbet · no value · model 58.1%
Double chance
121.27
Fonbet · no value · model 76.9%
1X1.17
Fonbet · no value · model 81.1%
X22.30
Fonbet · no value · model 41.9%
Handicap
2 -11.75
Fonbet · line only
2 +11.80
market consensus · line only
2 03.85
Fonbet · line only
1 -12.07
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.51.75
Fonbet · line only
Under 2.52.07
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No1.97
Fonbet · line only
Yes1.80
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
We use cookies to run the site and to understand how it’s used. Click “Accept all” to agree, or set your choice with “Cookie settings”. Read our cookie policy.
