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Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27
Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27
Group C. 1-y Round 05.08.2026 17:45 UTC
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data ✓Line ✓Form ✓H2H ✓Prediction
05.08.2026 17:45 UTC Group C. 1-y Round
Not started

Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27

Zenit SPb - Baltika

Football
Stadium Gazprom Arena (Sankt-Peterburg, Russia), vmestimost: 68134
Referee Nikita Novikov (Petrozavodsk)
Zenit SPb
Zenit SPb
- : -
Not started
Baltika
Baltika

Zenit SPb go head-to-head with Baltika on August 5, 2026 in the Russia. Premier League. Season 26/27.

Recent form (W-D-L): Zenit SPb 3-2-0, Baltika 1-0-4. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Zenit SPb — 68%

Pure model vs market (1 · Zenit SPb): model 60% · market 70% Δ −10 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Zenit SPb ✓ Pick68.4%
market70%
X · draw20.4%
market20%
2 · Baltika11.3%
market10%

Model estimate: win Zenit SPb 68.4%, draw 20.4%, win Baltika 11.3%. Model favourite — Zenit SPb.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Zenit SPb (odds1.83) Score 2:1 confidence 55%
  • • Model backs Zenit: probability 55% vs 55% on the line (odds 1.83)
  • • no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Zenit SPb - Baltika August 5, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Zenit SPb. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.42 / X 4.70 / 2 9.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.3% 4 books · best price +2.2%
1 ✓ Pick 69.6%
X 20.4%
2 10.0%

Odds source: consensus of 4 books (Baltbet, Betcity, Fonbet, Leon). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1 1.43 ↓ 1.40
1X2 X 4.40 ↑ 4.50
1X2 P2 8.50 ↑ 9.00

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Cup
Best price across 6 books
1 1.40 1xBet
X 4.65 Marathonbet
2 9.60 Marathonbet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Zenit SPb
W-D-L 8-1-1 Scored 2.05 Conceded 0.68 xG 1.84 xGA 0.89 Corners 3.0
Baltika
W-D-L 3-1-6 Scored 1.15 Conceded 1.14 xG 1.22 xGA 1.23 Corners 7.0

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Zenit SPb
Rating 1807 xG 1.87 Win 60%
Baltika
Rating 1609 xG 0.92 Win 18%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

AI

Model consensus

AI outcome leader: 1

Main outcome
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Zenit SPb 2 : 1 Baltika
11.39
X4.70
29.60

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:2/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT, Qwen, Kimi, GLM 5.2

Google AI updated03.08.2026 18:40 UTC
1 65% ✓ favourite
X 20%
2 15%
Score2:0 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:1 and Under 3.5
Per AI data H2H: 2-0
Claude updated03.08.2026 18:45 UTC
1 59% ✓ favourite
X 26%
2 15%
Score1:0 Total goals: Under 2.5 BTTS:No Bet:Double chance 1X (Zenit ne proigraet)

AI consensus:1

AI 1 X 2 Score Total goals BTTS Bet
Google AI 65% 20% 15% 2:0 Under 2.5 No
Claude 59% 26% 15% 1:0 Under 2.5 No Double chance 1X (Zenit ne proigraet)

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

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Match center
Stadium Gazprom Arena (Sankt-Peterburg, Russia), vmestimost: 68134
Referee Nikita Novikov (Petrozavodsk)
Start 05.08.2026 17:45 UTC
Market 1 68.5% @ 1.42 / X 20.7% @ 4.70 / 2 10.8% @ 9.00
🥊 Humans vs Machines
🤖 7 AI models Zenit SPb 62%
📐 Math model Zenit SPb 68%
Every pick locked before kickoff · public log
Match center

Zenit SPb - Baltika

football, Zenit - Baltika, 5 avgusta 2026, smotret onlayn translyatsiyu matcha. Vo skolko nachalo matcha Zenit - Baltika, gde smotret pryamoy efir. Fonbet Cup Russia 2026/2027, Group C. 1-y Round.

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Line 1 source Stavka.tv
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Referees Line
More needed
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Zenit SPb 68.9% 68.4% market and model agree
Draw 20.4% 20.4% draw risk
Baltika 10.7% 11.3%
xG - 1.86 : 0.93

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 68.4% / 20.4% / 11.3% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,736 / 1,400 Zenit SPb / Baltika
RD 250 / 291 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,237-2,236 / 818-1,983 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.00 Fonbet · no value · model 11.3%
X 4.70 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.42 Fonbet · no value · model 68.4%
Double chance
12 1.22 Fonbet · no value · model 79.6%
1X 1.09 Fonbet · no value · model 88.7%
X2 3.00 Fonbet · no value · model 31.6%
Handicap
2 -1 2.25 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 2.14 market consensus · line only
2 0 6.40 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 1.65 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.08 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.77 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.55 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.45 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.55 64.5% 1.55 64.5%
yes 2.45 40.8% 2.47 40.5%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.18 84.8% 1.18 84.8% 1.22 82.0%
1x 1.03 97.1% 1.05 95.2% 1.09 91.7%
x2 3.10 32.3% 3.00 33.3% 3.00 33.3%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
1.89 52.9%
X 2.34 42.7%
9.20 10.9%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.96 51.0%
Under 1 1.85 54.1%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 6-1-2, avg 1.67 gls
2026-03-03 · Zenit 1:0 Baltika
2026-02-27 · Zenit 1:0 Baltika
2025-09-14 · Zenit 0:0 Baltika
2025-07-06 · Zenit 1:2 Baltika
2024-06-02 · Zenit 2:1 Baltika
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.45 (Pari) · X 4.5 (Betcity) · 2 8.5 (Pari)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 1.45 4.3 8.5
Winline 1.44 4.32 8.17
Fonbet 1.45 4.3 8.5
Betcity 1.44 4.5 7.3
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Zenit SPb
W W D D W
2026-08-02 Premier League 26/27
Zenit SPb Orenburg 0:3 Zenit SPb
2026-07-25 Premier League 26/27
Zenit SPb Akron Tolyatti 0:5 Zenit SPb
2026-07-18 Super Cup 2026
Zenit SPb Zenit SPb 1:1 Spartak Moscow
2026-07-13 Club Friendly Games 2026
Zenit SPb Zenit SPb 1:1 Dynamo Makhachkala
2026-07-12 Club Friendly Games 2026
Zenit SPb Zenit SPb 3:1 Crvena Zvezda
3 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
2.6 Scored
0.6 Conceded
11 Points
Baltika
W L L L L
2026-08-01 Premier League 26/27
Baltika 2:1 Dynamo Moscow Baltika
2026-07-24 Premier League 26/27
CSKA Moscow 2:1 Baltika Baltika
2026-05-17 Premier League 25/26
Baltika 1:2 Dynamo Moscow Baltika
2026-05-10 Premier League 25/26
Lokomotiv Moscow 1:0 Baltika Baltika
2026-05-02 Premier League 25/26
Baltika 0:1 Rubin Baltika
1 Wins
0 Draws
4 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.4 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyZenit SPb - Baltika

Zenit SPb
0 matches total
Baltika
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Zenit SPb
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Baltika
Zenit SPb Team comparison Baltika
0 Games 0
0 Wins 0
0 Draws 0
0 Losses 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
0 Points 0
0 Attacks 0
0 Dangerous attacks 0
0 Big chances 0
0 Shots on goal 0
0 Udary v stvor 0
0 Games 0
0 Wins 0
0 Draws 0
0 Losses 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0

Zenit Baltika 0 Games 0 Wins 0 Draws 0 Losses 0 Scored 0 Conceded 0 Points 0 Attacks 0 Dangerous attacks 0 Big chances 0 Shots on goal 0 Udary v stvor 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 Uglovye 0 Offsaydy 0 Foly 0 % vladeniya myachom 0 Warnings 0 Sendoffs 0 Glavnye trenery Glavnye trenery Sergey Bogdanovich Semak Glavnye trenery Andrey Viktorovich Talalaev 0' Privetstvuem vsekh lyubiteley futbola! Rady predlozhit vashemu vnimaniyu tekstovuyu onlayn-translyatsiyu matches pervogo tura gruppovogo etapa Kubka Russia — 2026/2027: «Zenit» — «Baltika». Eto soperniki po gruppe C. Nachalo vstrechi zaplanirovano na 20:45 po moskovskomu vremeni. Rezultaty golosovaniya Result v osnovnoe vremya 59% 14% 27% Double chance 37% 42% 21% Materialy po prognozam Luchshaya ataka RPL: novyy sezon mozhet realno udivit Pora vozvraschatsya domoy! Kto vyigraet RPL-2026/2027? Yarkoe otkrytie sezona. Chego zhdat ot matches za Super Cup «Zenit» — «Spartak» «Zenit» — «Tsrvena Zvezda». Deyan Stankovich snova v Peterburge CSKA and «Spartak» spasayut sezon, «Zenit» and «Krasnodar» — protiv! Talalaev otomstit «Zenitu», proverka ambitsiy Karsedo. Chego zhdat ot matches Kubka Russia Poslednyaya proverka sil pered vesnoy. Ch