Russia. League 2. Division B. Group 2
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Luki-Energiya — 48%
Pure model vs market (1 · Luki-Energiya): model 45% · market 47% Δ −2 pp model estimate matches the market
Model estimate: win Luki-Energiya 48.2%, draw 31.5%, win Chertanovo 20.3%. Model favourite — Luki-Energiya.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.30 76.9% | 1.37 73.0% |
| 1x | 1.10 90.9% | 1.22 82.0% |
| x2 | 1.71 58.5% | 1.69 59.2% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.95 33.9% | 3.00 33.3% | 2.98 33.6% | |
| 1.33 75.2% | 1.34 74.6% | 1.34 74.6% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 2.10 47.6% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.10 47.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 1.63 61.4% | 1.65 60.6% | 1.65 60.6% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.86 53.8% | 2.05 48.8% | 1.95 51.3% | |
| X | 2.80 35.7% | 2.85 35.1% | 2.95 33.9% |
| 4.60 21.7% | 3.80 26.3% | 4.84 20.7% |
Kosmos
Murom
Full head-to-head historyLuki-Energiya - Chertanovo
The Luki-Energiya - Chertanovo breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
