Russia. League 2. Division B. Group 2
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Murom — 52%
Pure model vs market (1 · Murom): model 58% · market 50% Δ +8 pp model estimates above the market
Model estimate: win Murom 51.7%, draw 28.6%, win Cosmos 19.7%. Model favourite — Murom.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.11 47.4% |
| yes | 1.65 60.6% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.25 80.0% | 1.32 75.8% |
| 1x | 1.11 90.1% | 1.19 84.0% |
| x2 | 1.82 55.0% | 1.85 54.1% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | 1.75 57.1% | |
| 2.43 41.2% | 2.46 40.7% | — | |
| — | — | 1.96 51.0% | |
| 1.47 68.0% | 1.48 67.6% | — |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1.69 59.2% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.71 58.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 2.00 50.0% | 2.03 49.3% | 2.02 49.5% |
Dinamo SPb
Full head-to-head historyMurom - Cosmos
The Murom - Cosmos breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
