Russia. League 2. Division B. Group 2
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Baltika 2 — 36%
Pure model vs market (2 · Baltika 2): model 29% · market 36% Δ −7 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Torpedo Vladimir 32.2%, draw 32.2%, win Baltika 2 35.7%. Model favourite — Baltika 2.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.32 75.8% | 1.41 70.9% |
| 1x | 1.39 71.9% | 1.45 69.0% |
| x2 | 1.29 77.5% | 1.34 74.6% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.98 50.5% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.00 50.0% | |
| 1.70 58.8% | 1.72 58.1% | 1.72 58.1% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1.98 50.5% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.00 50.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 1.70 58.8% | 1.72 58.1% | 1.72 58.1% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.90 34.5% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.03 33.0% | |
| X | 2.75 36.4% | 2.70 37.0% | 2.88 34.7% |
| 2.50 40.0% | 2.55 39.2% | 2.61 38.3% |
Kosmos
Spartak Moskva 2
Dinamo SPb
Full head-to-head historyTorpedo Vladimir - Baltika 2
The Torpedo Vladimir - Baltika 2 breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
