Russia. League 2. Division B. Group 2
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Zvezda Saint Petersburg — 59%
Pure model vs market (1 · Zvezda Saint Petersburg): model 55% · market 59% Δ −4 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Zvezda Saint Petersburg 59.0%, draw 26.9%, win Yenisey 2 14.1%. Model favourite — Zvezda Saint Petersburg.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.22 82.0% | 1.30 76.9% |
| 1x | 1.03 97.1% | 1.09 91.7% |
| x2 | 2.15 46.5% | 2.20 45.5% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.00 50.0% | 2.03 49.3% | 2.03 49.3% | |
| 1.68 59.5% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.70 58.8% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 1.86 53.8% | 2.00 50.0% | 1.88 53.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 1.80 55.6% | 1.72 58.1% | 1.82 55.0% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.52 65.8% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.59 62.9% | |
| X | 3.30 30.3% | 3.20 31.3% | 3.46 28.9% |
| 6.70 14.9% | 6.20 16.1% | 7.00 14.3% |
Dinamo SPb
Full head-to-head historyZvezda Saint Petersburg - Yenisey 2
The Zvezda Saint Petersburg - Yenisey 2 breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
