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Russia. League 2. Division B. Group 4
Russia. League 2. Division B. Group 4
02.08.2026 09:00 UTC
Not started

Russia. League 2. Division B. Group 4

Chelyabinsk 2 - Dynamo Barnaul

Football
C
Chelyabinsk 2
- : -
Not started
Dynamo Barnaul
Dynamo Barnaul

Chelyabinsk 2 meet Dynamo Barnaul on August 2, 2026 in the Russia. League 2. Division B. Group 4.

Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Chelyabinsk 259%

Pure model vs market (1 · Chelyabinsk 2): model 45% · market 40% Δ +5 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Chelyabinsk 259.2%
market40%
X · draw19.8%
market29%
2 · Dynamo Barnaul21.0%
market31%

Model estimate: win Chelyabinsk 2 59.2%, draw 19.8%, win Dynamo Barnaul 21.0%. Model favourite — Chelyabinsk 2.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Chelyabinsk 2 (odds2.08) Score 1:0 confidence 50%
  • Model backs Chelyabinsk 2: probability 50% vs 48% on the line (odds 2.08)
  • edge over the line +2 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Chelyabinsk 2 - Dynamo Barnaul August 2, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Chelyabinsk 2. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.36 / X 3.25 / 2 3.04

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.0%
1 40.0%
X 29.0%
2 31.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 02.08.2026 09:00 UTC
Market 1 40.0% @ 2.36 / X 29.0% @ 3.25 / 2 31.0% @ 3.04
Match center

Chelyabinsk 2 - Dynamo Barnaul

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Form Match Participants
More needed
Market fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Line fonbet, BetBoom, odds
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Chelyabinsk 2 - 59.2% model pick
Draw - 19.8% draw risk
Dynamo Barnaul - 21.0%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 59.2% / 19.8% / 21.0% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,433 / 1,409 Chelyabinsk 2 / Dynamo Barnaul
RD 160 / 286 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,112-1,754 / 837-1,981 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.95 market consensus · no value · model 21.0%
X 3.17 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.30 market consensus · value +36.1% · model 59.2%
Double chance
12 1.30 market consensus · value +4.2% · model 80.2%
1X 1.34 market consensus · value +5.8% · model 79.0%
X2 1.53 market consensus · no value · model 40.8%
Handicap
2 0 2.10 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.64 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.75 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.95 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.27 78.7% 1.32 75.8%
1x 1.31 76.3% 1.36 73.5%
x2 1.51 66.2% 1.55 64.5%

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.63 61.4% 1.65 60.6% 1.65 60.6%
2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
Over 2.5 1.74 57.5% 1.75 57.1% 1.76 56.8%
Under 2.5 1.93 51.8% 1.96 51.0% 1.96 51.0%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
2.25 44.4% 2.30 43.5% 2.36 42.4%
X 3.15 31.8% 3.10 32.3% 3.25 30.8%
2.90 34.5% 2.90 34.5% 3.04 32.9%
Match center
Chelyabinsk 2
L L D L D
26.07 08:00 UTC Russia: Second League - Division B - Group 4 Standings
Chelyabinsk 2 0:2 Akron Tolyatti 2
12.07 06:00 UTC Russia: Second League - Division B - Group 4 Standings
Chelyabinsk 2 0:1 win Nizhniy Novgorod
05.07 06:00 UTC Russia: Second League - Division B - Group 4 Standings
Chelyabinsk 2 2:2 Ural 2
01.07 12:00 UTC Russia: Second League - Division B - Group 4 Standings
Chelyabinsk 2 0:1 Krylya Sovetov 2
14.06 10:00 UTC Russia: Second League - Division B - Group 4 Standings
Chelyabinsk 2 0:0 KDVKDV
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
0.4 Scored
1.2 Conceded
2 Points
Dynamo Barnaul
W L L L W
30.07 07:30 UTC+0 Russia: FONBET Cup Russia - Put regionov
Dynamo Barnaul 2:1 Anri Vladivostok
26.07 08:00 UTC+0 Russia: Second League - Division B - Group 4 Standings
Dynamo Barnaul 0:4 Khimik
09.07 11:30 UTC+0 Russia: Second League - Division B - Group 4 Standings
Dynamo Barnaul 0:4 Izhevsk
05.07 08:00 UTC+0 Russia: Second League - Division B - Group 4 Standings
Dynamo Barnaul 0:2 KDV
01.07 09:30 UTC+0 Russia: Second League - Division B - Group 4 Standings
Dynamo Barnaul 4:3 Orenburg 2
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.2 Scored
2.8 Conceded
6 Points