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Russia. League 2. Division B. Group 4
Russia. League 2. Division B. Group 4
03.08.2026 09:00 UTC
Not started

Russia. League 2. Division B. Group 4

Chelyabinsk II - Dinamo Barnaul

Football
C
Chelyabinsk II
- : -
Not started
Dinamo Barnaul
Dinamo Barnaul

Chelyabinsk II go head-to-head with Dinamo Barnaul on August 3, 2026 in the Russia. League 2. Division B. Group 4.

Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Chelyabinsk II40%

Pure model vs market (1 · Chelyabinsk II): model 44% · market 40% Δ +4 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Chelyabinsk II40.2%
X · draw28.7%
2 · Dinamo Barnaul31.1%

Model estimate: win Chelyabinsk II 40.2%, draw 28.7%, win Dinamo Barnaul 31.1%. Model favourite — Chelyabinsk II.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Chelyabinsk II (odds2.08) Score 1:0 confidence 50%
  • Model backs Chelyabinsk 2: probability 50% vs 48% on the line (odds 2.08)
  • edge over the line +2 pp — value pick
  • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Chelyabinsk II - Dinamo Barnaul August 3, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Chelyabinsk II. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.36 / X 3.25 / 2 3.04

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.0%
1 40.0%
X 29.0%
2 31.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Second League - Group 4
League table
Chelyabinsk II
#1014 ptsGP 183-5-1012:27
Dinamo Barnaul
#1114 ptsGP 183-5-1019:44
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Chelyabinsk II
W-D-L 1-4-5 Scored 0.50 Conceded 1.20
Dinamo Barnaul
W-D-L 3-2-5 Scored 1.10 Conceded 2.20 xG 1.07 xGA 1.84

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Chelyabinsk II
Rating 1363
Dinamo Barnaul
Rating 1338

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Chelyabinsk II 1 : 1 Dinamo Barnaul
12.27
X3.13
22.94

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 03.08.2026 09:00 UTC
Market 1 40.0% @ 2.36 / X 29.0% @ 3.25 / 2 31.0% @ 3.04
Match center

Chelyabinsk II - Dinamo Barnaul

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Chelyabinsk II 39.9% 40.2% market and model agree
Draw 29.0% 28.7% draw risk
Dinamo Barnaul 31.1% 31.1%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 40.2% / 28.7% / 31.1% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,433 / 1,409 Chelyabinsk 2 / Dynamo Barnaul
RD 161 / 286 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,112-1,754 / 837-1,981 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.95 market consensus · no value · model 31.1%
X 3.17 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.30 market consensus · no value · model 40.2%
Double chance
12 1.28 market consensus · no value · model 71.3%
1X 1.32 market consensus · no value · model 68.9%
X2 1.51 market consensus · no value · model 59.8%
Handicap
2 0 2.10 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.64 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.75 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.95 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.24 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.63 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.24 44.6%
yes 1.63 61.4%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.24 80.7% 1.32 75.8%
1x 1.28 78.1% 1.36 73.5%
x2 1.47 68.0% 1.55 64.5%

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.63 61.4% 1.65 60.6% 1.65 60.6%
2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
Over 2.5 1.74 57.5% 1.75 57.1% 1.76 56.8%
Under 2.5 1.93 51.8% 1.96 51.0% 1.96 51.0%
Match center
Chelyabinsk II
L L D L D
26.07 08:00 UTC Russia: Second League - Division B - Group 4 Standings
Chelyabinsk II 0:2 Akron Tolyatti 2
12.07 06:00 UTC Russia: Second League - Division B - Group 4 Standings
Chelyabinsk II 0:1 win Nizhniy Novgorod
05.07 06:00 UTC Russia: Second League - Division B - Group 4 Standings
Chelyabinsk II 2:2 Ural 2
01.07 12:00 UTC Russia: Second League - Division B - Group 4 Standings
Chelyabinsk II 0:1 Krylya Sovetov 2
14.06 10:00 UTC Russia: Second League - Division B - Group 4 Standings
Chelyabinsk II 0:0 KDVKDV
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
0.4 Scored
1.2 Conceded
2 Points
Dinamo Barnaul
W L L L W
30.07 09:30 UTC+0 Russia: FONBET Cup Russia - Put regionov
Dinamo Barnaul 2:1 Anri VladivostokAnri Vladivostok
26.07 08:00 UTC+0 Russia: Second League - Division B - Group 4 Standings
Dinamo Barnaul 0:4 Khimik
09.07 11:30 UTC+0 Russia: Second League - Division B - Group 4 Standings
Dinamo Barnaul 0:4 Izhevsk
05.07 08:00 UTC+0 Russia: Second League - Division B - Group 4 Standings
Dinamo Barnaul 0:2 KDVKDV
01.07 09:30 UTC+0 Russia: Second League - Division B - Group 4 Standings
Dinamo Barnaul 4:3 Orenburg 2Orenburg 2
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.2 Scored
2.8 Conceded
6 Points