Russia. League 2. Division B. Group 4
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Izhevsk — 43%
Pure model vs market (1 · Izhevsk): model 45% · market 43% Δ +2 pp model estimate matches the market
Model estimate: win Izhevsk 42.6%, draw 26.9%, win Rubin 2 30.5%. Model favourite — Izhevsk.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Betcity |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.29 77.5% |
| 1x | 1.34 74.6% |
| x2 | 1.62 61.7% |
| Outcome | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| 1.60 62.5% | 1.60 62.5% | |
| 2.20 45.5% | 2.20 45.5% |
| Outcome | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 | 1.80 55.6% | 1.80 55.6% |
| Under 3.5 | 1.90 52.6% | 1.90 52.6% |
| Outcome | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| 2.15 46.5% | 2.21 45.3% | |
| X | 3.30 30.3% | 3.52 28.4% |
| 3.00 33.3% | 3.10 32.3% |
Full head-to-head historyIzhevsk - Rubin 2
The Izhevsk - Rubin 2 breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
