Russia. League 2. Division B. Group 4
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 KDV Tomsk — 62%
Pure model vs market (1 · KDV Tomsk): model 62% · market 63% Δ −1 pp model estimate matches the market
Model estimate: win KDV Tomsk 61.8%, draw 23.1%, win Orenburg 2 15.1%. Model favourite — KDV Tomsk.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Betcity |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.22 82.0% |
| 1x | 1.10 90.9% |
| x2 | 2.40 41.7% |
| Outcome | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| 1.75 57.1% | 1.65 60.6% | |
| 1.96 51.0% | 2.10 47.6% |
| Outcome | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 | 1.94 51.6% | 1.94 51.6% |
| Under 3.5 | 1.77 56.5% | 1.78 56.2% |
| Outcome | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| 1.50 66.7% | 1.50 66.7% | |
| X | 3.80 26.3% | 4.14 24.2% |
| 5.90 17.0% | 6.60 15.2% |
Full head-to-head historyKDV Tomsk - Orenburg 2
The KDV Tomsk - Orenburg 2 breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
