Russia. League 2. Division B. Group 4
Khimik - Nosta
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Khimik — 81%
Model estimate: win Khimik 80.9%, draw 13.2%, win Nosta 5.9%. Model favourite — Khimik.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Khimik - Nosta August 1, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
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Khimik - Nosta
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Double chance
| Outcome | Betcity |
|---|---|
| 12 | 1.06 94.3% |
| x2 | 5.80 17.2% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| 1.75 57.1% | 1.76 56.8% | |
| 1.96 51.0% | 1.96 51.0% |
Total
| Outcome | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| Over 4.5 | 1.98 50.5% | 1.98 50.5% |
| Under 4.5 | 1.74 57.5% | 1.74 57.5% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| 1.10 90.9% | 1.16 86.2% | |
| X | 7.20 13.9% | 7.20 13.9% |
| 20.00 5.0% | 16.70 6.0% |
Full head-to-head historyKhimik - Nosta
Match history
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The Khimik - Nosta breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form