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Russia. League 2. Division B. Group 4
Russia. League 2. Division B. Group 4
01.08.2026 15:00 UTC
Not started

Russia. League 2. Division B. Group 4

Khimik - Nosta

Football
K
Khimik
- : -
Not started
N
Nosta
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Khimik81%

1 · Khimik ✓ Pick80.9%
X · draw13.2%
2 · Nosta5.9%

Model estimate: win Khimik 80.9%, draw 13.2%, win Nosta 5.9%. Model favourite — Khimik.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Khimik - Nosta August 1, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 15:00 UTC
Match center

Khimik - Nosta

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Khimik 82.0% 80.9% market and model agree
Draw 12.9% 13.2% draw risk
Nosta 5.1% 5.9%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 80.9% / 13.2% / 5.9% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,868 / 1,229 Khimik / Nosta
RD 182 / 166 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,504-2,232 / 897-1,561 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
X 7.20 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 1.13 market consensus · no value · model 80.9%
Double chance
12 1.06 market consensus · no value · model 86.8%
X2 5.80 market consensus · no value · model 19.1%

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Double chance

Outcome Betcity
12 1.06 94.3%
x2 5.80 17.2%

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Leon
1.75 57.1% 1.76 56.8%
1.96 51.0% 1.96 51.0%

Total

Outcome Betcity Leon
Over 4.5 1.98 50.5% 1.98 50.5%
Under 4.5 1.74 57.5% 1.74 57.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Betcity Leon
1.10 90.9% 1.16 86.2%
X 7.20 13.9% 7.20 13.9%
20.00 5.0% 16.70 6.0%
Match center
Khimik
W W D W W
26.07 08:00 UTC Russia: Second League - Division B - Group 4 Standings
Khimik 4:0 Dinamo Barnaul
12.07 13:00 UTC Russia: Second League - Division B - Group 4 Standings
Khimik 2:0 Akron Tolyatti 2
05.07 11:00 UTC Russia: Second League - Division B - Group 4 Standings
Khimik 1:1 win Nizhniy Novgorod
01.07 13:00 UTC Russia: Second League - Division B - Group 4 Standings
Khimik 4:1 Ural 2
14.06 13:00 UTC Russia: Second League - Division B - Group 4 Standings
Khimik 3:1 Izhevsk
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.8 Scored
0.6 Conceded
13 Points
Nosta
D L W L L
26.07 10:00 UTC Russia: Second League - Division B - Group 4 Standings
Nosta 1:1 Izhevsk
12.07 09:00 UTC Russia: Second League - Division B - Group 4 Standings
Nosta 0:3 KDV
05.07 10:00 UTC Russia: Second League - Division B - Group 4 Standings
Nosta 1:0 Orenburg 2
01.07 11:00 UTC Russia: Second League - Division B - Group 4 Standings
Nosta 0:3 Rubin 2
14.06 08:00 UTC Russia: Second League - Division B - Group 4 Standings
Nosta 0:5 Akron Tolyatti 2
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
0.4 Scored
2.4 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyKhimik - Nosta

Khimik
0 matches total
Nosta
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history