Match center
Start
05.07.2026 10:00 UTC
05.07.2026 10:00 UTC
round 16
Finished
Russia: Second League - Division B - Group 4 Standings
Nosta - Orenburg 2
N
Nosta
1
:
0
Finished
O
Orenburg 2
Match signals
Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
🔒 «Formula lock»
2Orenburg 2 — 51%
The formula agrees with the market favourite in the moderate-odds zone — historically the most profitable slice (basketball/football/hockey). NOT a profit guarantee.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Nosta - Orenburg 2 July 5, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Nosta. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.07 / X 5.00 / 2 1.82
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 68.4%
1
55.5%
X
11.9%
2
32.6%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Clubs and venues
Team reference
Nosta
- Новотроицк
- Founded in 1991
- Coach: Синелобов, Олег Викторович
Orenburg 2
- Founded in 2001
Reference data on clubs and venues: Wikidata.
Rest and schedule
Team freshness
Nosta
Well rested- Rest days: 4
- Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)
Orenburg 2
Well rested- Rest days: 4
- Matches in 7 days: 2 (in 14: 2)
Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.
Statistics
Totals and BTTS trends
| Nosta | Orenburg 2 | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | — | 83% |
| Average total | — | 4 |
| Both teams to score (BTTS) | — | 67% |
| Matches counted | — | 6 |
% of matches with a total over 2.5, average total goals and % of matches where both teams scored — over each team recent matches. For reference.
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Match center
Nosta - Orenburg 2
Итоговый протокол and результаты встречи Носта - Оренбург-2, 5 июля 2026. Обзор and статистика matches, точный счет. Вторая лига России по футболу 2026 (дивизион «Б»), round 16. Носта - Оренбург-2, кто победил, онлайн трансляция matches.
Form
4/4
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
yes
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.77
market consensus · line only
X
5.00
Fonbet · line only
1
1.07
Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12
1.13
Fonbet · line only
1X
1.01
Fonbet · line only
X2
7.00
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1
1.38
Fonbet · line only
2 +1
2.40
Fonbet · line only
2 0
6.50
Fonbet · line only
1 -1
2.80
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.75
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.95
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.67
Fonbet · line only
Yes
2.07
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.67 59.9% | 2.04 49.0% |
| yes | 2.07 48.3% | 1.75 57.1% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.21 82.6% | 1.27 78.7% | 1.13 88.5% |
| 1x | 1.91 52.4% | 1.88 53.2% | 1.01 99.0% |
| x2 | 1.15 87.0% | 1.21 82.6% | 7.00 14.3% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 4.67 21.4% | |
| Х | 2.34 42.7% |
| 2.28 43.9% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.71 58.5% |
| Under 1 | 2.03 49.3% |
Match center
Nosta
L
L
L
D
Nosta
0:3
Rubin 2
Nosta
0:5
Akron Tolyatti 2
Nosta
0:2
Ural 2
Nosta
1:1
Chelyabinsk 2
0
Wins
1
Draws
3
Losses
0.3
Scored
2.8
Conceded
1
Points
Orenburg 2
L
L
L
D
Orenburg 2
3:4
Dinamo Barnaul
Orenburg 2
0:5
Ural 2
Orenburg 2
1:2
Khimik
Orenburg 2
2:2
Izhevsk
0
Wins
1
Draws
3
Losses
1.5
Scored
3.3
Conceded
1
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyNosta - Orenburg 2
Nosta
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1
Nosta
Team 2
Orenburg 2
Nosta
Team comparison
Orenburg 2
15
Games
15
1
Wins
4
4
Draws
6
10
Losses
5
12
Scored
24
35
Conceded
27
7
Points
18
0.67
Warnings
0.67
0.07
Sendoffs
0.07
Носта Оренбург-2 15 Игры 15 1 Победы 4 4 Ничьи 6 10 Поражения 5 12 Забито 24 35 Пропущено 27 7 Очки 18 0.67 Warnings 0.67 0.07 Sendoffs 0.07 Голы 1:0 0' Главные тренеры Главные тренеры Александр Станиславович Руденко Главные тренеры No данных Результаты голосования Исход в основное время 31% 23% 46% Double chance 27% 38% 35% CHAMP({ name: 'commentsWidget', params: { appId: CHAMP.comments['appId'], xid: 'match_1308682' } }); CHAMP('tournamentTabs'); CHAMP('swipingTabs'); CHAMP('match'); CHAMP('stickyVertical');