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Russia. League 2. Division B. Group 4
Russia. League 2. Division B. Group 4
01.08.2026 08:00 UTC
01.08.2026 08:00 UTC
Not started

Russia. League 2. Division B. Group 4

Ural 2 - Akron Tolyatti 2

Football
U
Ural 2
- : -
Not started
A
Akron Tolyatti 2
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Ural 2 — 49%

1 · Ural 248.6%
X · draw19.5%
2 · Akron Tolyatti 231.9%

Model estimate: win Ural 2 48.6%, draw 19.5%, win Akron Tolyatti 2 31.9%. Model favourite — Ural 2.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Ural 2 (odds2.53) Score 1:0 confidence 50%
  • • Model backs Ural 2: probability 50% vs 40% on the line (odds 2.53)
  • • edge over the line +10 pp — value pick
  • • Expected score 1:0.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Ural 2 - Akron Tolyatti 2 August 1, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Ural 2. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.36 / X 3.62 / 2 2.78

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.0%
1 40.0%
X 26.1%
2 33.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 08:00 UTC
Market 1 40.0% @ 2.36 / X 26.1% @ 3.62 / 2 33.9% @ 2.78
Match center

Ural 2 - Akron Tolyatti 2

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Form Match Participants
More needed
Market fonbet, BetBoom, Flashscore
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Line fonbet, BetBoom, odds
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Ural 2 - 48.6% model pick
Draw - 19.5% draw risk
Akron Tolyatti 2 - 31.9%

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 48.6% / 19.5% / 31.9% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,536 / 1,610 Ural 2 / Akron Tolyatti 2
RD 168 / 165 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,200-1,872 / 1,279-1,940 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.74 market consensus · no value · model 31.9%
X 3.56 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.31 market consensus · weak value +12.4% · model 48.6%
Double chance
12 1.26 market consensus · no value · model 80.5%
1X 1.41 market consensus · no value · model 68.1%
X2 1.57 market consensus · no value · model 51.4%
Handicap
2 0 2.03 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.71 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Double chance

Outcome Betcity
12 1.26 79.4%
1x 1.41 70.9%
x2 1.57 63.7%

Handicap

Outcome Betcity Leon
1.70 58.8% 1.71 58.5%
2.03 49.3% 2.03 49.3%

Total

Outcome Betcity Leon
Over 3.5 1.75 57.1% 1.76 56.8%
Under 3.5 1.96 51.0% 1.96 51.0%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Betcity Leon
2.26 44.3% 2.36 42.4%
X 3.50 28.6% 3.62 27.6%
2.70 37.0% 2.78 36.0%
Match center
Ural 2
L D D L W
26.07 07:00 UTC Russia: Second League - Division B - Group 4 Standings
Ural 2 1:4 win Nizhniy Novgorod
12.07 08:00 UTC Russia: Second League - Division B - Group 4 Standings
Ural 2 2:2 Krylya Sovetov 2
05.07 06:00 UTC Russia: Second League - Division B - Group 4 Standings
Ural 2 2:2 Chelyabinsk 2
01.07 13:00 UTC Russia: Second League - Division B - Group 4 Standings
Ural 2 1:4 Khimik
14.06 06:00 UTC Russia: Second League - Division B - Group 4 Standings
Ural 2 5:0 Orenburg 2
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
2.2 Scored
2.4 Conceded
5 Points
Akron Tolyatti 2
W L W L W
26.07 08:00 UTC Russia: Second League - Division B - Group 4 Standings
Akron Tolyatti 2 2:0 Chelyabinsk 2
12.07 13:00 UTC Russia: Second League - Division B - Group 4 Standings
Akron Tolyatti 2 0:2 Khimik
05.07 08:00 UTC Russia: Second League - Division B - Group 4 Standings
Akron Tolyatti 2 3:2 Izhevsk
01.07 10:00 UTC Russia: Second League - Division B - Group 4 Standings
Akron Tolyatti 2 0:1 KDV
14.06 08:00 UTC Russia: Second League - Division B - Group 4 Standings
Akron Tolyatti 2 5:0 Nosta
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyUral 2 - Akron Tolyatti 2

Ural 2
0 matches total
Akron Tolyatti 2
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history