Russia. League 2. Division B. Group 4
Ural II - Akron II
Ural II take on Akron II on August 2, 2026 in the Russia. League 2. Division B. Group 4.
Recent form (W-D-L): Ural II 1-2-2, Akron II 3-0-2. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Ural II — 40%
Pure model vs market (1 · Ural II): model 40% · market 40% Δ 0 pp model estimate matches the market
Model estimate: win Ural II 40.0%, draw 25.9%, win Akron II 34.1%. Model favourite — Ural II.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Model backs Ural 2: probability 50% vs 40% on the line (odds 2.53)
- • edge over the line +10 pp — value pick
- • Expected score 1:0.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Ural II - Akron II August 2, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.36 / X 3.62 / 2 2.78
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Second League - Group 4Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
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Ural II - Akron II
What data is collected and where it is shown
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 3.27 30.6% |
| yes | 1.33 75.2% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.20 83.3% | 1.26 79.4% |
| 1x | 1.34 74.6% | 1.41 70.9% |
| x2 | 1.47 68.0% | 1.57 63.7% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.69 59.2% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.71 58.5% | |
| 2.00 50.0% | 2.03 49.3% | 2.03 49.3% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 | 1.74 57.5% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.76 56.8% |
| Under 3.5 | 1.93 51.8% | 1.96 51.0% | 1.96 51.0% |
Orenburg 2
KDV
Full head-to-head historyUral II - Akron II
Match history
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The Ural II - Akron II breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
- Full AI consensus of 7 models
- Win probabilities & value flags
- Match history & form