Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod

10.07.2026 05:30 UTC Match prediction

10.07.2026 05:30 UTC

Finished

Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod

Arda Kardzhali - Botev Vratsa 🇧🇴

Futbol

Arda Kardzhali

1 : 0

Finished

Botev Vratsa 🇧🇴

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Arda Kardzhali - Botev Vratsa 🇧🇴 10 июля 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Arda Kardzhali.

Line favourite market consensus: Arda Kardzhali. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.16 / X 3.10 / 2 3.17
1X2 market: Arda Kardzhali 42.1% / X 29.3% / Botev Vratsa 🇧🇴 28.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.1%

1 42.0%

X 29.3%

2 28.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Friendlies Clubs

Best price across 10 books

1 2.40 1xBet

X 3.18 Marathonbet

2 3.05 Dafabet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)

Arda Kardzhali

W-D-L 3-7-0 Scored 1.88 Conceded 1.18 xG 1.58 xGA 1.64

Botev Vratsa 🇧🇴

W-D-L 4-3-3 Scored 1.29 Conceded 0.99 xG 1.35 xGA 1.36

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)

Arda Kardzhali

Rating 1602

Botev Vratsa 🇧🇴

Rating 1597

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Arda Kardzhali 1 : 1 Botev Vratsa 🇧🇴

Score prediction: third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center

Start 10.07.2026 05:30 UTC

Match center

Arda Kardzhali - Botev Vratsa 🇧🇴

Form 3/2 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.02 Fonbet · line only

X 5.90 Fonbet · line only

1 2.20 market consensus · line only

Double chance

12 1.09 Fonbet · line only

1X 8.00 Fonbet · line only

X2 1.02 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 -1 1.02 Fonbet · line only

2 +1 1.85 Fonbet · line only

2 0 1.01 Fonbet · line only

1 -1 9.50 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.18 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.01 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.08 Fonbet · line only

Yes 6.00 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	1xBet	Bet365
П1	2.22 45.1%	2.10 47.6%
Х	3.10 32.3%	3.10 32.3%
П2	3.14 31.9%	3.20 31.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome	Fonbet	Leon
no	1.08 92.6%	1.83 54.6%
yes	6.00 16.7%	1.92 52.1%

Double chance

Outcome	Fonbet
12	1.09 91.7%
1x	8.00 12.5%
x2	1.02 98.0%

Exact Score

Outcome	Bet365
0_0	8.00 12.5%
0_1	9.00 11.1%
0_2	15.00 6.7%
0_3	34.00 2.9%
0_4	67.00 1.5%
0_5	81.00 1.2%
1_0	7.00 14.3%
1_1	6.50 15.4%
1_2	12.00 8.3%
1_3	29.00 3.5%
1_4	51.00 2.0%
1_5	81.00 1.2%
2_0	10.00 10.0%
2_1	9.50 10.5%
2_2	17.00 5.9%
2_3	41.00 2.4%
2_4	81.00 1.2%
2_5	151.00 0.7%

Match center

Arda Kardzhali

D L W

05.07 10:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies

Arda Kardzhali 0:0 Beytar 🇮🇱

04.07 10:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies

Arda Kardzhali 0:2 Lokomotiv Plovdiv 🇧🇴

01.07 13:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies

Arda Kardzhali 2:0 Rilski Sportlist 🇧🇴

1 Wins

1 Draws

1 Losses

0.7 Scored

0.7 Conceded

4 Points

Botev Vratsa 🇧🇴

D W

03.07 10:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies

Botev Vratsa 🇧🇴 2:2 Beytar 🇮🇱

01.07 10:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies

Botev Vratsa 🇧🇴 2:1 Spartak Pleven 🇧🇴

1 Wins

1 Draws

0 Losses

2.0 Scored

1.5 Conceded

4 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyArda Kardzhali - Botev Vratsa 🇧🇴

Arda Kardzhali

0 matches total

Botev Vratsa 🇧🇴

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Arda Kardzhali - Botev Vratsa 🇧🇴

AI match prediction Arda Kardzhali - Botev Vratsa 🇧🇴 10 июля 2026

Fair probability (no margin)

Statistics and model

Score prediction

Buy the full AI analysis

Arda Kardzhali - Botev Vratsa 🇧🇴

What data is collected and where it is shown

Match markets

Match Winner

Both teams to score

Double chance

Exact Score

Match history