Match center
Start
11.07.2026 09:00 UTC
11.07.2026 09:00 UTC
Finished
Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
AZ Alkmaar - Almere Siti 🇳🇱
A
AZ Alkmaar
2
:
1
Finished
A
Almere Siti 🇳🇱
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction AZ Alkmaar - Almere Siti 🇳🇱 July 11, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite market consensus: AZ Alkmaar. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.26 / X 5.30 / 2 9.20
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 9.1%
1
72.7%
X
17.3%
2
10.0%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Friendlies ClubsForm over 10 matches (SStats)
AZ Alkmaar
W-D-L 5-4-1
Scored 1.93
Conceded 1.66
xG 1.73
xGA 1.16
Almere Siti 🇳🇱
W-D-L 7-1-2
Scored 2.37
Conceded 1.48
xG 1.74
xGA 1.88
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Model form (Glicko)
AZ Alkmaar
Rating 1762
Almere Siti 🇳🇱
Rating 1708
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
AZ Alkmaar
2
:
1
Almere Siti 🇳🇱
11.24
X5.16
29.05
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Match center
AZ Alkmaar - Almere Siti 🇳🇱
Form
1/2
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
9.20
market consensus · line only
X
5.30
market consensus · line only
1
1.26
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.78
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.97
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.78 56.2% |
| yes | 1.97 50.8% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.63 61.4% | |
| X | 2.78 36.0% |
| 7.80 12.8% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 2.05 48.8% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.69 59.2% |
Total
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 3 | 2.01 49.8% |
| Under 3 | 1.75 57.1% |
Match center
AZ Alkmaar
D
AZ Alkmaar
3:3
Gent 🇧🇪
0
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
3.0
Scored
3.0
Conceded
1
Points
Almere Siti 🇳🇱
L
W
Almere Siti 🇳🇱
1:2
Gou Ekhed Igls 🇳🇱
Gou Ekhed Igls 🇳🇱
Almere Siti 🇳🇱
2:1
Telstar 🇳🇱
1
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
1.5
Scored
1.5
Conceded
3
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyAZ Alkmaar - Almere Siti 🇳🇱
AZ Alkmaar
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals