Match center
Start
11.07.2026 09:00 UTC
11.07.2026 09:00 UTC
Finished
Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
AZ Alkmaar - Almere Siti π³π±
A
AZ Alkmaar
2
:
1
Finished
A
Almere Siti π³π±
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction AZ Alkmaar - Almere Siti π³π± July 11, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite market consensus: AZ Alkmaar. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.26 / X 5.30 / 2 9.20
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin β for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 9.1%
1
72.7%
X
17.3%
2
10.0%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds β reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Friendlies ClubsForm over 10 matches (SStats)
AZ Alkmaar
W-D-L 5-4-1
Scored 1.93
Conceded 1.66
xG 1.73
xGA 1.16
Almere Siti π³π±
W-D-L 7-1-2
Scored 2.37
Conceded 1.48
xG 1.74
xGA 1.88
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data β for reference.
Model form (Glicko)
AZ Alkmaar
Rating 1762
Almere Siti π³π±
Rating 1708
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model β for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction β’ nb-bet.com
Score prediction
AZ Alkmaar
2
:
1
Almere Siti π³π±
11.24
X5.16
29.05
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference β not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Match center
AZ Alkmaar - Almere Siti π³π±
Form
1/2
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
9.20
market consensus Β· line only
X
5.30
market consensus Β· line only
1
1.26
market consensus Β· line only
Both teams to score
No
1.78
market consensus Β· line only
Yes
1.97
market consensus Β· line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 1.78 56.2% |
| yes | 1.97 50.8% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 1.63 61.4% | |
| X | 2.78 36.0% |
| 7.80 12.8% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 2.05 48.8% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.69 59.2% |
Total
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 3 | 2.01 49.8% |
| Under 3 | 1.75 57.1% |
Match center
AZ Alkmaar
D
AZ Alkmaar
3:3
Gent π§πͺ
0
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
3.0
Scored
3.0
Conceded
1
Points
Almere Siti π³π±
L
W
Almere Siti π³π±
1:2
Gou Ekhed Igls π³π±
Gou Ekhed Igls π³π±
Almere Siti π³π±
2:1
Telstar π³π±
1
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
1.5
Scored
1.5
Conceded
3
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyAZ Alkmaar - Almere Siti π³π±
AZ Alkmaar
0
matches total
Biggest win
β
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
β
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
β
draw with the most goals