Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
14.07.2026 10:00 UTC
Finished

Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod

Korona πŸ‡΅πŸ‡± - Stal Zheshuv πŸ‡΅πŸ‡±

Futbol
K
Korona πŸ‡΅πŸ‡±
0 : 0
Finished
S
Stal Zheshuv πŸ‡΅πŸ‡±

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Korona πŸ‡΅πŸ‡± - Stal Zheshuv πŸ‡΅πŸ‡± 14 июля 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Korona πŸ‡΅πŸ‡±.

Line favourite market consensus: Korona πŸ‡΅πŸ‡±. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.35 / X 4.71 / 2 6.68
  • 1X2 market: Korona πŸ‡΅πŸ‡± 67.1% / X 19.3% / Stal Zheshuv πŸ‡΅πŸ‡± 13.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin β€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.3%
1 67.2%
X 19.3%
2 13.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds β€” reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Friendlies Clubs
Best price across 13 books
1 1.38 Betano
X 5.00 Dafabet
2 7.20 Dafabet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data β€” for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Korona πŸ‡΅πŸ‡±
W-D-L 4-4-2 Scored 1.62 Conceded 0.74 xG 1.63 xGA 1.46
Stal Zheshuv πŸ‡΅πŸ‡±
W-D-L 2-1-7 Scored 1.31 Conceded 3.10 xG 1.33 xGA 1.93

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data β€” for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Korona πŸ‡΅πŸ‡±
Rating 1757 xG 2.12 Win 66%
Stal Zheshuv πŸ‡΅πŸ‡±
Rating 1486 xG 0.88 Win 14%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model β€” for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction β€’ nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Korona πŸ‡΅πŸ‡± 3 : 2 Stal Zheshuv πŸ‡΅πŸ‡±
11.34
X4.55
27.40

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference β€” not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 14.07.2026 10:00 UTC
Match center

Korona πŸ‡΅πŸ‡± - Stal Zheshuv πŸ‡΅πŸ‡±

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.73 market consensus Β· line only
X 1.18 Fonbet Β· line only
1 5.90 Fonbet Β· line only
Double chance
12 4.05 Fonbet Β· line only
1X 1.03 Fonbet Β· line only
X2 1.10 Fonbet Β· line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.01 Fonbet Β· line only
2 +1 7.10 Fonbet Β· line only
2 0 3.10 Fonbet Β· line only
1 +1 1.05 Fonbet Β· line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.51 market consensus Β· line only
Under 2.5 1.01 Fonbet Β· line only
Both teams to score
No 1.01 Fonbet Β· line only
Yes 1.76 market consensus Β· line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Dafabet Marathonbet
П1 1.34 74.6% 1.36 73.5% 1.38 72.5% 1.30 76.9% 1.40 71.4% 1.33 75.2%
Π₯ 4.55 22.0% 4.50 22.2% 4.55 22.0% 4.75 21.1% 4.80 20.8% 4.55 22.0%
П2 7.40 13.5% 6.25 16.0% 6.10 16.4% 7.00 14.3% 6.60 15.2% 7.10 14.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.01 99.0% 1.99 50.3%
yes 12.00 8.3% 1.76 56.8%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.11 90.1% 1.16 86.2% 4.05 24.7%
1x 1.03 97.1% 1.07 93.5% 1.03 97.1%
x2 2.60 38.5% 2.90 34.5% 1.10 90.9%

Exact Score

Outcome 1xBet
0_0 11.50 8.7%
0_1 19.00 5.3%
0_10 100.00 1.0%
0_2 41.00 2.4%
0_3 80.00 1.3%
0_4 100.00 1.0%
0_5 100.00 1.0%
0_6 100.00 1.0%
0_7 100.00 1.0%
0_8 100.00 1.0%
0_9 100.00 1.0%
1_0 7.50 13.3%
1_1 8.50 11.8%
1_10 100.00 1.0%
1_2 17.00 5.9%
1_3 65.00 1.5%
1_4 100.00 1.0%
1_5 100.00 1.0%
Match center
Korona πŸ‡΅πŸ‡±
D W
09.07 14:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Korona πŸ‡΅πŸ‡± 0:0 Omoniya (Kip)Omoniya (Kip)
04.07 08:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Korona πŸ‡΅πŸ‡± 4:0 Zemplin Mikhaylovtse πŸ‡ΈπŸ‡°
1 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
4 Points
Stal Zheshuv πŸ‡΅πŸ‡±
L W
11.07 12:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Stal Zheshuv πŸ‡΅πŸ‡± 1:3 Katovitse πŸ‡΅πŸ‡±Katovitse πŸ‡΅πŸ‡±
04.07 10:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Stal Zheshuv πŸ‡΅πŸ‡± 4:2 Gurnik Lenchna πŸ‡΅πŸ‡±
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.5 Scored
2.5 Conceded
3 Points