Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
11.07.2026 11:00 UTC
Finished

Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod

Lokomotiv Leyptsig 🇩🇪 - Hertha Berlin

Futbol
L
Lokomotiv Leyptsig 🇩🇪
1 : 3
Finished
H
Hertha Berlin

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lokomotiv Leyptsig 🇩🇪 - Hertha Berlin 11 июля 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Hertha Berlin.

Line favourite market consensus: Hertha Berlin. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 10.10 / X 6.50 / 2 1.19
  • 1X2 market: Lokomotiv Leyptsig 🇩🇪 9.2% / X 14.1% / Hertha Berlin 76.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.3%
1 9.1%
X 14.1%
2 76.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Friendlies Clubs
Best price across 12 books
1 15.00 Marathonbet
X 8.50 Bet365
2 1.19 Unibet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Lokomotiv Leyptsig 🇩🇪
W-D-L 4-5-1 Scored 1.90 Conceded 1.40 xG 2.05 xGA 1.28
Hertha Berlin
W-D-L 7-2-1 Scored 4.43 Conceded 0.71 xG 1.65 xGA 1.20

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Lokomotiv Leyptsig 🇩🇪
Rating 1644
Hertha Berlin
Rating 1840

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Lokomotiv Leyptsig 🇩🇪 1 : 3 Hertha Berlin

Score prediction: third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 11.07.2026 11:00 UTC
Match center

Lokomotiv Leyptsig 🇩🇪 - Hertha Berlin

Form 1/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · line only
X 7.40 Fonbet · line only
1 8.93 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 1.06 Fonbet · line only
1X 3.90 market consensus · line only
X2 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 +1 1.25 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.01 Fonbet · line only
1 +1 3.45 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.03 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 8.50 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.80 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.90 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
П1 8.80 11.4% 11.50 8.7% 9.50 10.5% 9.25 10.8% 11.00 9.1% 11.00 9.1%
Х 5.80 17.2% 6.70 14.9% 7.00 14.3% 6.00 16.7% 6.50 15.4% 7.00 14.3%
П2 1.20 83.3% 1.20 83.3% 1.20 83.3% 1.22 82.0% 1.14 87.7% 1.17 85.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.80 55.6% 2.35 42.6%
yes 1.90 52.6% 1.55 64.5%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.04 96.2% 1.08 92.6% 1.06 94.3%
1x 3.60 27.8% 4.20 23.8% 11.00 9.1%
x2 1.02 98.0% 1.02 98.0%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 29.00 3.5%
0_1 11.00 9.1%
0_2 7.50 13.3%
0_3 7.50 13.3%
0_4 9.50 10.5%
0_5 15.00 6.7%
0_6 29.00 3.5%
0_7 56.00 1.8%
0_8 101.00 1.0%
1_0 29.00 3.5%
1_1 12.00 8.3%
1_2 8.00 12.5%
1_3 8.00 12.5%
1_4 10.00 10.0%
1_5 17.00 5.9%
1_6 31.00 3.2%
1_7 61.00 1.6%
1_8 101.00 1.0%
Match center
Lokomotiv Leyptsig 🇩🇪
D
04.07 12:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Lokomotiv Leyptsig 🇩🇪 3:3 Kladno 🇨🇿
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
1 Points
Hertha Berlin
W W
08.07 14:30 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Hertha Berlin 9:0 Likhtenberg 🇩🇪
04.07 13:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Hertha Berlin 15:0 Frohnauer 🇩🇪
2 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
12.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
6 Points