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Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
14.07.2026 12:00 UTC Match prediction
14.07.2026 12:00 UTC
Finished

Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod

Lokomotiv Moskva 🇷🇺 - ЦСКА Москва

Futbol
Lokomotiv Moskva 🇷🇺
Lokomotiv Moskva 🇷🇺
1 : 0
Finished
ЦСКА Москва
ЦСКА Москва

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lokomotiv Moskva 🇷🇺 - ЦСКА Москва 14 июля 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lokomotiv Moskva 🇷🇺.

Line favourite market consensus: Lokomotiv Moskva 🇷🇺. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.51 / X 3.64 / 2 2.51
  • 1X2 market: Lokomotiv Moskva 🇷🇺 37.2% / X 25.6% / ЦСКА Москва 37.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.2%
1 37.2%
X 25.6%
2 37.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Friendlies Clubs
Best price across 2 books
1 2.50 Marathonbet
X 3.65 Marathonbet
2 2.51 Marathonbet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Lokomotiv Moskva 🇷🇺
W-D-L 7-2-1 Scored 2.71 Conceded 0.58 xG 2.16 xGA 1.04
ЦСКА Москва
W-D-L 3-5-2 Scored 1.88 Conceded 1.69 xG 2.01 xGA 1.16

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Lokomotiv Moskva 🇷🇺
Rating 1799
ЦСКА Москва
Rating 1694

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Lokomotiv Moskva 🇷🇺 2 : 1 ЦСКА Москва
12.49
X3.65
22.51

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Stadium РЖД Арена (Москва, Россия), вместимость: 28800
Referee Евгений Буланов (Саранск, Россия) 46' Жерзино Ньямси 2 48' 1:0 Максим Ненахов 48' Максим Ненахов 53' Жерзино Ньямси 73' Никита Салтыков 0' 45' 90'
Start 14.07.2026 12:00 UTC
Match center

Lokomotiv Moskva 🇷🇺 - ЦСКА Москва

Итоговый протокол и результаты встречи Локомотив М - ЦСКА, 14 июля 2026. Обзор и статистика матча, точный счет. Клубные товарищеские матчи 2026. Локомотив М - ЦСКА, кто победил, онлайн трансляция матча.

Form 4/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.49 market consensus · line only
X 3.66 market consensus · line only
1 1.05 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.04 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.01 Fonbet · line only
X2 10.00 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.63 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 4.30 Fonbet · line only
2 0 10.00 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 2.30 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 9.00 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.06 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.72 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.13 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 1xBet Marathonbet
П1 2.51 39.8% 2.51 39.8%
Х 3.64 27.5% 3.64 27.5%
П2 2.51 39.8% 2.51 39.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.72 58.1% 2.38 42.0%
yes 2.13 47.0% 1.54 64.9%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.21 82.6% 1.24 80.7% 1.04 96.2%
1x 1.46 68.5% 1.49 67.1% 1.01 99.0%
x2 1.46 68.5% 1.49 67.1% 10.00 10.0%

Exact Score

Outcome 1xBet
0_0 13.00 7.7%
0_1 10.50 9.5%
0_10 100.00 1.0%
0_2 13.50 7.4%
0_3 24.00 4.2%
0_4 35.00 2.9%
0_5 70.00 1.4%
0_6 100.00 1.0%
0_7 100.00 1.0%
0_8 100.00 1.0%
0_9 100.00 1.0%
1_0 10.50 9.5%
1_1 6.80 14.7%
1_10 100.00 1.0%
1_2 9.10 11.0%
1_3 17.00 5.9%
1_4 26.00 3.9%
1_5 60.00 1.7%
Match center
Lokomotiv Moskva 🇷🇺
W W W W
11.07 15:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Lokomotiv Moskva 🇷🇺 2:0 Spartak Moskva 🇷🇺
11.07 06:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Lokomotiv Moskva 🇷🇺 3:0 Akron Tolyatti 🇷🇺
03.07 12:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Lokomotiv Moskva 🇷🇺 2:0 Spartak Kostroma 🇷🇺
03.07 06:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Lokomotiv Moskva 🇷🇺 8:0 Znamya Truda 🇷🇺
4 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.8 Scored
0.0 Conceded
12 Points
ЦСКА Москва
D D
04.07 11:30 UTC World: Club Friendlies
ЦСКА Москва 1:1 Arsenal Tula 🇷🇺
30.06 12:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
ЦСКА Москва 1:1 Shinnik 🇷🇺
0 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
2 Points
Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Lokomotiv Moskva 🇷🇺
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 ЦСКА Москва
Lokomotiv Moskva 🇷🇺 Team comparison ЦСКА Москва
13 Игры 6
10 Победы 3
2 Ничьи 1
1 Поражения 2
37 Забито 15
9 Пропущено 13
32 Очки 10
0 Атаки 0
0 Опасные атаки 0
0 Голевые моменты 0
0 Удары по воротам 0
0 Удары в створ 0
20-й тур Голы Максим Ненахов Александр Руденко 1:0 48' Наказания Жерзино Ньямси 46' Максим Ненахов 48' Жерзино Ньямси 53' Никита Салтыков 73'

Локомотив М ЦСКА 13 Игры 6 10 Победы 3 2 Ничьи 1 1 Поражения 2 37 Забито 15 9 Пропущено 13 32 Очки 10 0 Атаки 0 0 Опасные атаки 0 0 Голевые моменты 0 0 Удары по воротам 0 0 Удары в створ 0 0 Штанги/перекладины 0 0 Угловые 0 0 Оффсайды 0 0 Фолы 0 0 % владения мячом 0 0.69 Предупреждения 0.5 0.08 Удаления 0 Следующий матч 21.08.2026 Россия — МФЛ ЦСКА-мол. –:– Локомотив-мол. 20-й тур Голы Максим Ненахов Александр Руденко 1:0 48' Наказания Жерзино Ньямси 46' Максим Ненахов 48' Жерзино Ньямси 53' Никита Салтыков 73'