Match center
Start
10.07.2026 05:30 UTC
10.07.2026 05:30 UTC
Finished
Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
Ludogorets 🇧🇴 - Septemvri Sofiya 🇧🇴
L
Ludogorets 🇧🇴
1
:
0
Finished
S
Septemvri Sofiya 🇧🇴
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Ludogorets 🇧🇴 - Septemvri Sofiya 🇧🇴 10 июля 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite Fonbet: Septemvri Sofiya 🇧🇴. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.42 / X 6.00 / 2 1.01
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 86.1%
1
37.8%
X
9.0%
2
53.2%
Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Friendlies Clubs
Best price
across 12 books
1
1.43
Unibet
X
4.65
Betano
2
6.95
Marathonbet
Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Ludogorets 🇧🇴
W-D-L 4-5-1
Scored 2.49
Conceded 1.89
xG 2.07
xGA 1.39
Septemvri Sofiya 🇧🇴
W-D-L 4-0-6
Scored 1.26
Conceded 1.82
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Model form (Glicko)
Ludogorets 🇧🇴
Rating 1767
Septemvri Sofiya 🇧🇴
Rating 1478
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Ludogorets 🇧🇴
3
:
1
Septemvri Sofiya 🇧🇴
11.39
X4.60
27.65
Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
Buy the full AI analysis
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Match center
Ludogorets 🇧🇴 - Septemvri Sofiya 🇧🇴
Form
2/3
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.01
Fonbet · line only
X
6.00
Fonbet · line only
1
1.39
market consensus · line only
Double chance
12
1.09
Fonbet · line only
1X
9.00
Fonbet · line only
X2
1.03
Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1
1.01
Fonbet · line only
2 +1
1.70
Fonbet · line only
2 0
1.01
Fonbet · line only
1 +1
2.02
Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.55
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.01
Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.07
Fonbet · line only
Yes
6.50
Fonbet · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
bookmaker line and markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.07 93.5% | 1.94 51.6% |
| yes | 6.50 15.4% | 1.80 55.6% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.11 90.1% | 1.16 86.2% | 1.09 91.7% |
| 1x | 1.05 95.2% | 1.09 91.7% | 9.00 11.1% |
| x2 | 2.45 40.8% | 2.65 37.7% | 1.03 97.1% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.87 53.5% |
| Х | 2.39 41.8% |
| П2 | 6.80 14.7% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| ТБ 0.5 | 1.25 80.0% |
| ТБ 1 | 1.58 63.3% |
| ТБ 1.5 | 2.25 44.4% |
| ТМ 0.5 | 3.59 27.9% |
| ТМ 1 | 2.23 44.8% |
| ТМ 1.5 | 1.57 63.7% |
Match center
Ludogorets 🇧🇴
D
W
Ludogorets 🇧🇴
2:2
Botoshani 🇷🇴
Ludogorets 🇧🇴
7:4
Etyr 🇧🇴
1
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
4.5
Scored
3.0
Conceded
4
Points
Septemvri Sofiya 🇧🇴
W
L
W
Septemvri Sofiya 🇧🇴
2:1
Khebar 🇧🇴
Septemvri Sofiya 🇧🇴
2:3
Slaviya Sofiya 🇧🇴
Septemvri Sofiya 🇧🇴
2:0
Viren 🇧🇴
2
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
2.0
Scored
1.3
Conceded
6
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyLudogorets 🇧🇴 - Septemvri Sofiya 🇧🇴
Ludogorets 🇧🇴
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals