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Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
10.07.2026 07:00 UTC Match prediction
10.07.2026 07:00 UTC
Finished

Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod

Rodez 🇫🇷 - Bastiya 🇫🇷

Futbol
R
Rodez 🇫🇷
5 : 3
Finished
B
Bastiya 🇫🇷

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Rodez 🇫🇷 - Bastiya 🇫🇷 10 июля 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Rodez 🇫🇷. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / X 5.00 / 2 15.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 25.7%
1 78.8%
X 15.9%
2 5.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Friendlies Clubs
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Rodez 🇫🇷
W-D-L 4-2-4 Scored 1.09 Conceded 1.08 xG 1.46 xGA 1.32
Bastiya 🇫🇷
W-D-L 6-0-4 Scored 1.69 Conceded 1.17

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Rodez 🇫🇷
Rating 1440
Bastiya 🇫🇷
Rating 1367

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Rodez 🇫🇷 2 : 1 Bastiya 🇫🇷
11.83
X3.85
23.82

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 10.07.2026 07:00 UTC
Match center

Rodez 🇫🇷 - Bastiya 🇫🇷

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.36 market consensus · line only
X 5.00 Fonbet · line only
1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.14 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.02 Fonbet · line only
X2 9.50 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 2.15 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 9.00 Fonbet · line only
2 0 9.50 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 1.63 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.05 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 7.10 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 3.75 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.20 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 3.75 26.7% 2.12 47.2%
yes 1.20 83.3% 1.67 59.9%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.17 85.5% 1.23 81.3% 1.14 87.7%
1x 1.24 80.7% 1.30 76.9% 1.02 98.0%
x2 1.65 60.6% 1.76 56.8% 9.50 10.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
П1 2.34 42.7%
Х 2.29 43.7%
П2 4.25 23.5%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
ТБ 1 1.65 60.6%
ТМ 1 2.11 47.4%