Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
08.07.2026 13:30 UTC
Finished

Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod

Tsele 🇸🇮 - MTK Budapesht 🇭🇺

Futbol
T
Tsele 🇸🇮
1 : 2
Finished
M
MTK Budapesht 🇭🇺

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Tsele 🇸🇮 - MTK Budapesht 🇭🇺 8 июля 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: MTK Budapesht 🇭🇺. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.90 / X 5.10 / 2 1.10

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 45.0%
1 23.8%
X 13.5%
2 62.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Friendlies Clubs
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Tsele 🇸🇮
W-D-L 5-3-2 Scored 1.79 Conceded 0.90 xG 1.59 xGA 1.44 Corners 9.0
MTK Budapesht 🇭🇺
W-D-L 6-2-2 Scored 2.34 Conceded 1.45 xG 2.10 xGA 1.01

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Tsele 🇸🇮
Rating 1688
MTK Budapesht 🇭🇺
Rating 1727

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Tsele 🇸🇮 2 : 1 MTK Budapesht 🇭🇺
12.96
X4.10
22.06

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 08.07.2026 13:30 UTC
Match center

Tsele 🇸🇮 - MTK Budapesht 🇭🇺

Form 2/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.10 Fonbet · line only
X 5.10 Fonbet · line only
1 2.85 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 1.13 Fonbet · line only
1X 5.50 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.14 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 1.60 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.68 Fonbet · line only
1 +1 2.20 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.30 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.65 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.10 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.65 60.6% 3.16 31.7%
yes 2.10 47.6% 1.33 75.2%

Double chance

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
12 1.19 84.0% 1.13 88.5%
1x 1.72 58.1% 5.50 18.2%
x2 1.38 72.5% 1.14 87.7%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
П1 3.28 30.5%
Х 2.55 39.2%
П2 2.48 40.3%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
ТБ 1.5 1.91 52.4%
ТМ 1.5 1.80 55.6%
Match center
Tsele 🇸🇮
D L
04.07 10:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Tsele 🇸🇮 1:1 Chukarichki 🇷🇸
01.07 14:15 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Tsele 🇸🇮 0:1 Khayduk 🇭🇷
0 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
0.5 Scored
1.0 Conceded
1 Points
MTK Budapesht 🇭🇺
L W W
04.07 06:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
MTK Budapesht 🇭🇺 2:3 Kechkemet 🇭🇺
01.07 06:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
MTK Budapesht 🇭🇺 3:1 Vashash 🇭🇺
26.06 13:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
MTK Budapesht 🇭🇺 4:2 Kazintsbartsikay 🇭🇺
2 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
3.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
6 Points