Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
10.07.2026 10:00 UTC
Finished

Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod

Vil 🇨🇭 - Lyutsern 🇨🇭

Futbol
V
Vil 🇨🇭
0 : 2
Finished
L
Lyutsern 🇨🇭

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Vil 🇨🇭 - Lyutsern 🇨🇭 10 июля 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lyutsern 🇨🇭.

Line favourite market consensus: Lyutsern 🇨🇭. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 5.88 / X 4.38 / 2 1.42
  • 1X2 market: Vil 🇨🇭 15.5% / X 20.7% / Lyutsern 🇨🇭 63.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.3%
1 15.4%
X 20.7%
2 63.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Friendlies Clubs
Best price across 9 books
1 6.35 Marathonbet
X 4.75 Marathonbet
2 1.45 Unibet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Vil 🇨🇭
W-D-L 3-2-5 Scored 1.56 Conceded 2.09 xG 1.06 xGA 2.01
Lyutsern 🇨🇭
W-D-L 8-0-2 Scored 2.68 Conceded 1.46 xG 1.88 xGA 1.61 Corners 10.0

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Vil 🇨🇭
Rating 1511
Lyutsern 🇨🇭
Rating 1780

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Vil 🇨🇭 1 : 3 Lyutsern 🇨🇭

Score prediction: third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 10.07.2026 10:00 UTC
Match center

Vil 🇨🇭 - Lyutsern 🇨🇭

Form 0/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.20 Fonbet · line only
X 4.90 Fonbet · line only
1 1.40 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.14 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.09 Fonbet · line only
X2 2.75 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 2.25 Fonbet · line only
2 0 4.50 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 1.58 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.15 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.37 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.85 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.35 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.53 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet Pinnacle
П1 6.25 16.0% 5.50 18.2% 6.50 15.4% 6.50 15.4% 6.25 16.0% 5.35 18.7%
Х 4.50 22.2% 4.50 22.2% 4.60 21.7% 4.40 22.7% 4.50 22.2% 4.17 24.0%
П2 1.46 68.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.33 75.2% 1.40 71.4% 1.45 69.0% 1.43 69.9%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 2.35 42.6%
yes 1.53 65.4%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.14 87.7%
1x 1.09 91.7%
x2 2.75 36.4%

Exact Score

Outcome 1xBet
0_0 15.00 6.7%
0_1 7.00 14.3%
0_10 100.00 1.0%
0_2 6.50 15.4%
0_3 9.00 11.1%
0_4 13.00 7.7%
0_5 100.00 1.0%
0_6 100.00 1.0%
0_7 100.00 1.0%
0_8 100.00 1.0%
0_9 100.00 1.0%
1_0 17.00 5.9%
1_1 8.00 12.5%
1_10 100.00 1.0%
1_2 7.00 14.3%
1_3 9.50 10.5%
1_4 15.00 6.7%
1_5 100.00 1.0%
Match center
Lyutsern 🇨🇭
W
04.07 12:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Lyutsern 🇨🇭 3:2 Vintertur 🇨🇭Vintertur 🇨🇭
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
3 Points