Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
11.07.2026 07:00 UTC
Finished

Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod

Willem II - Eyndkhoven 🇳🇱

Futbol
W
Willem II
2 : 2
Finished
E
Eyndkhoven 🇳🇱

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Willem II - Eyndkhoven 🇳🇱 11 июля 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Willem II.

Line favourite market consensus: Willem II. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.77 / X 3.90 / 2 3.57
  • 1X2 market: Willem II 51.2% / X 23.3% / Eyndkhoven 🇳🇱 25.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.1%
1 51.3%
X 23.3%
2 25.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Friendlies Clubs
Best price across 11 books
1 1.79 Unibet
X 4.10 Marathonbet
2 3.90 BetVictor

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Willem II
W-D-L 3-2-5 Scored 1.55 Conceded 1.66 xG 1.56 xGA 1.36 Corners 3.0
Eyndkhoven 🇳🇱
W-D-L 6-2-2 Scored 1.78 Conceded 0.90 xG 1.69 xGA 1.65

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Willem II
Rating 1401
Eyndkhoven 🇳🇱
Rating 1699

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Willem II 4 : 0 Eyndkhoven 🇳🇱
11.78
X4.10
23.83

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 11.07.2026 07:00 UTC
Match center

Willem II - Eyndkhoven 🇳🇱

Form 1/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.00 Fonbet · line only
X 1.18 Fonbet · line only
1 7.50 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 4.10 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.05 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.07 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 1.52 market consensus · line only
2 0 2.20 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 2.43 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.13 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 4.80 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 3.45 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.25 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet
П1 1.78 56.2% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.76 56.8%
Х 4.20 23.8% 3.60 27.8% 3.80 26.3% 3.90 25.6% 3.80 26.3% 4.20 23.8%
П2 3.76 26.6% 3.50 28.6% 3.40 29.4% 3.60 27.8% 3.80 26.3% 3.78 26.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 3.45 29.0% 2.40 41.7%
yes 1.25 80.0% 1.53 65.4%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.14 87.7% 1.19 84.0% 4.10 24.4%
1x 1.21 82.6% 1.27 78.7% 1.05 95.2%
x2 1.80 55.6% 1.93 51.8% 1.07 93.5%

Exact Score

Outcome 1xBet
0_0 15.00 6.7%
0_1 13.00 7.7%
0_10 100.00 1.0%
0_2 17.00 5.9%
0_3 46.00 2.2%
0_4 80.00 1.3%
0_5 100.00 1.0%
0_6 100.00 1.0%
0_7 100.00 1.0%
0_8 100.00 1.0%
0_9 100.00 1.0%
1_0 8.50 11.8%
1_1 7.00 14.3%
1_10 100.00 1.0%
1_2 11.00 9.1%
1_3 21.00 4.8%
1_4 65.00 1.5%
1_5 100.00 1.0%
Match center
Willem II
L
04.07 10:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Willem II 1:2 Kvik Boys 🇳🇱
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
0 Points
Eyndkhoven 🇳🇱
W D W
08.07 15:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Eyndkhoven 🇳🇱 2:0 Breda 🇳🇱
04.07 08:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Eyndkhoven 🇳🇱 1:1 De Treffers/Kegro 🇳🇱
30.06 15:30 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Eyndkhoven 🇳🇱 3:1 UNA 🇳🇱
2 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.7 Conceded
7 Points