PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
CONCACAF Central American Cup. Group stage
CONCACAF Central American Cup. Group stage
30.07.2026 00:00 UTC
30.07.2026 00:00 UTC
Not started

CONCACAF Central American Cup. Group stage

Inter Santa Tecla - Aguila San Miguel

Football
I
Inter Santa Tecla
- : -
Not started
A
Aguila San Miguel
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Inter Santa Tecla — 37%

Pure model vs market (1 · Inter Santa Tecla): model 53% · market 35% Δ +18 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Inter Santa Tecla36.5%
X · draw28.1%
2 · Aguila San Miguel35.3%

Model estimate: win Inter Santa Tecla 36.5%, draw 28.1%, win Aguila San Miguel 35.3%. Model favourite — Inter Santa Tecla.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Inter Santa Tecla (odds1.68) Score 2:1 confidence 59%
  • • Model backs Inter Santa Tecla: probability 59% vs 60% on the line (odds 1.68)
  • • no edge over the line (-0 pp) — informational only
  • • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Inter Santa Tecla - Aguila San Miguel July 30, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Aguila San Miguel. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.60 / X 3.20 / 2 2.55

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.9%
1 35.3%
X 28.7%
2 36.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Inter Santa Tecla 1 : 1 Aguila San Miguel

Score prediction: third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 30.07.2026 00:00 UTC
Match center

Inter Santa Tecla - Aguila San Miguel

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Inter Santa Tecla 35.5% 36.5% Glicko contrarian
Draw 28.6% 28.1% draw risk
Aguila San Miguel 35.9% 35.3% market favourite

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 36.5% / 28.1% / 35.3% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,753 / 1,600 Inter Santa Tecla / Aguila San Miguel
RD 291 / 291 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,171-2,335 / 1,018-2,182 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.55 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 35.3%
X 3.20 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.58 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 36.5%
Double chance
12 1.30 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 71.9%
1X 1.45 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 64.7%
X2 1.45 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 63.5%
Handicap
2 0 1.85 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.87 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.07 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.69 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.92 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.82 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.92 52.1%
yes 1.82 55.0%

Double chance

Outcome Betcity
12 1.30 76.9%
1x 1.45 69.0%
x2 1.45 69.0%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
3.37 29.7%
X 2.04 49.0%
3.19 31.4%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.99 50.3%
Under 1 1.73 57.8%
Match center
Inter Santa Tecla
W
25.07 19:00 UTC SALVADOR: Premier League - Apertura Standings
Inter Santa Tecla 5:2 Atletiko Balboa
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
5.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
3 Points
Aguila San Miguel
W
26.07 19:00 UTC SALVADOR: Premier League - Apertura Standings
Aguila San Miguel 2:1 Luis Ankhel Firpo
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points