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Salvador. Premier League
Salvador. Premier League
30.07.2026 22:00 UTC Match prediction
30.07.2026 22:00 UTC
Finished

Salvador. Premier League

Isidro Metapan - FAS

Football
I
Isidro Metapan
0 : 1
Finished
F
FAS
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Isidro Metapan — 54%

1 · Isidro Metapan54.4%
X · draw18.9%
2 · FAS26.7%

Model estimate: win Isidro Metapan 54.4%, draw 18.9%, win FAS 26.7%. Model favourite — Isidro Metapan.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Isidro Metapan (odds1.84) Score 2:1 confidence 54% ✗ outcome missed
  • • Model backs Isidro Metapan: probability 54% vs 54% on the line (odds 1.84)
  • • legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey
  • • Expected score 2:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Isidro Metapan - FAS July 30, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like FAS.

Line favourite market consensus: FAS. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.75 / X 3.40 / 2 2.55
  • Glicko: Isidro Metapan 54.4% / X 18.9% / FAS 26.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%
1 34.6%
X 28.0%
2 37.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Isidro Metapan 1 : 2 FAS
12.68
X2.92
22.51

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 30.07.2026 22:00 UTC
Match center

Isidro Metapan - FAS

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Post-match / SStats
Score 0:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Lineups 0
PropickAI check: math model and Glicko-2

We mark in green only strong signals where the model passed our publication filter. The other rows are for audit and training.

Option Signal Prediction / actual Rating
Glicko-2: base favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 54.4% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.869 / LogLoss 1.321
Glicko-2: calibrated favourite Audit internal check, not a public signal Data: line, form, table home - 54.4% fact: away missed / ROI -100.0% / Brier 0.869 / LogLoss 1.321
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Isidro Metapan 29.4% 54.4% Glicko contrarian
Draw 28.5% 18.9% draw risk
FAS 42.2% 26.7% market favourite
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 54.4% / 18.9% / 26.7% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,700 / 1,658 Isidro Metapan / FAS
RD 291 / 291 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,118-2,282 / 1,076-2,240 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.48 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 26.7%
X 3.19 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.57 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 54.4%
Double chance
12 1.27 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 81.1%
1X 1.41 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 73.3%
X2 1.38 market consensus · Glicko and market diverge · not marked as value · model 45.6%
Handicap
2 0 1.82 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.86 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.02 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.70 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.95 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.76 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 1.95 51.3%
yes 1.76 56.8%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.17 85.5% 1.36 73.5%
1x 1.37 73.0% 1.45 69.0%
x2 1.37 73.0% 1.39 71.9%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
3.26 30.7%
X 2.07 48.3%
3.12 32.1%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.89 52.9%
Under 1 1.81 55.3%
Match center
Isidro Metapan
W
25.07 19:00 UTC SALVADOR: Premier League - Apertura Standings
Isidro Metapan 4:2 Cacahuatique
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
4.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
3 Points
FAS
W
24.07 23:30 UTC SALVADOR: Premier League - Apertura Standings
FAS 3:1 Munisipal Limenyu
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyIsidro Metapan - FAS

Isidro Metapan
0 matches total
FAS
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history