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Salvador. Premier League
Salvador. Premier League
01.08.2026 23:00 UTC
Not started

Salvador. Premier League

Municipal Limeno - Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca

Football
M
Municipal Limeno
- : -
Not started
P
Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca

Municipal Limeno go head-to-head with Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca on August 1, 2026 in the Salvador. Premier League.

Recent form (W-D-L): Municipal Limeno 2-0-3, Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca 1-2-2. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Municipal Limeno46%

Pure model vs market (1 · Municipal Limeno): model 46% · market 41% Δ +5 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Municipal Limeno45.9%
X · draw28.0%
2 · Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca26.1%

Model estimate: win Municipal Limeno 45.9%, draw 28.0%, win Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca 26.1%. Model favourite — Municipal Limeno.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca (odds2.02) Score 0:1 confidence 50%
  • Model backs Platense: probability 50% vs 50% on the line (odds 2.02)
  • legkiy pereves +0 pp nad liniey
  • Expected score 0:1.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Municipal Limeno - Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca August 1, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Municipal Limeno. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.25 / X 2.50 / 2 4.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.4%
1 40.6%
X 36.5%
2 22.8%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Primera Division
League table
Municipal Limeno
#53 ptsGP 21-0-13:3
Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca
#91 ptsGP 10-1-01:1
Best price across 12 books
1 2.04 Pinnacle
X 3.25 Bet365
2 4.30 Unibet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Municipal Limeno
W-D-L 4-1-5 Scored 1.40 Conceded 1.50 xG 1.19 xGA 1.33
Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca
W-D-L 1-6-3 Scored 1.00 Conceded 1.19 xG 1.03 xGA 1.54

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Municipal Limeno
Rating 1556 xG 1.25 Win 42%
Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca
Rating 1493 xG 0.99 Win 29%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Municipal Limeno 1 : 1 Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca
11.92
X3.16
23.79

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

LIVE

Now in play

score 1:1 · 45'

Current match situation. Updates every ~3 min.

LIVE

1X2 probabilities (live, from the line)

45'
41% 37% 23%
Municipal Limeno (1) Draw (X) Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca (2)

Implied probabilities from the Fonbet live line (1/odds, normalized). For reference.

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Match center
Start 01.08.2026 23:00 UTC
Market 1 40.6% @ 2.25 / X 36.5% @ 2.50 / 2 22.8% @ 4.00
Match center

Municipal Limeno - Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
SportsMole preview Raw English text hidden: we use preview facts, lineups and news.
Flashscore context Form, H2H, bracket and TV data received into the match center.
Transfermarkt squad
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line
More needed
H2H championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Tournament championat, soccer365, Flashscore
Lineup / squad championat, soccer365, Injuries
Movement Line history
Overview championat, soccer365
Table championat, Flashscore
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Municipal Limeno 45.9% 45.9% market and model agree
Draw 28.3% 28.0% draw risk
Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca 25.8% 26.1%
xG - 1.25 : 0.99

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Football math model
P1 / X / P2 45.9% / 28.0% / 26.1% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value
Rating 1,454 / 1,416 Municipal Limeno / Platense
RD 249 / 225 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 957-1,951 / 967-1,866 strength interval
HFA: 62 HFA mu: 0.357 MoV: on N: N=1 P: three_way_glicko2_draw_adjusted

Best value: no value found

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.00 Fonbet · no value · model 26.1%
X 2.50 Fonbet · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal
1 2.25 Fonbet · no value · model 45.9%
Double chance
12 1.47 Fonbet · value +5.9% · model 72.0%
1X 1.22 Fonbet · no value · model 73.9%
X2 1.55 Fonbet · no value · model 54.1%
Handicap
2 +1 1.50 market consensus · line only
2 0 2.55 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 2.49 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.45 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.27 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 3.30 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 3.45 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.25 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 3.45 29.0% 1.91 52.4%
yes 1.25 80.0% 1.83 54.6%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.24 80.7% 1.30 76.9% 1.47 68.0%
1x 1.20 83.3% 1.26 79.4% 1.22 82.0%
x2 1.63 61.4% 1.74 57.5% 1.55 64.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.58 38.8%
X 2.00 50.0%
4.71 21.2%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.96 51.0%
Under 1 1.75 57.1%
Match center
Municipal Limeno
W L L W L
2026-07-29 Primera Division 26/27, Apertura
Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 2:0 Inca
2026-07-25 Primera Division 26/27, Apertura
Municipal Limeno FAS 3:1 Municipal Limeno
2026-05-18 Primera Division, Clausura 2026, Playoffs
Municipal Limeno FAS 2:0 Municipal Limeno
2026-05-15 Primera Division, Clausura 2026, Playoffs
Municipal Limeno Municipal Limeno 1:0 FAS
2026-05-11 Primera Division, Clausura 2026, Playoffs
Municipal Limeno Inter FA 2:1 Municipal Limeno
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.4 Conceded
6 Points
Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca
D L D L W
2026-07-26 Primera Division 26/27, Apertura
Fuerte San Francisco 1:1 Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca
2026-05-01 Primera Division, Clausura 2026
FAS 1:0 Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca
2026-04-26 Primera Division, Clausura 2026
Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca 1:1 Hercules Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca
2026-04-21 Copa Presidente 2026, Playoffs
Fuerte San Francisco 1:0 Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca
2026-04-19 Primera Division, Clausura 2026
Isidro Metapan 0:2 Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
0.8 Conceded
5 Points